NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83a1f52eb3afde1aafef9fcc3978d3dbcf2955c583284fd93f99f263245f1705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $944,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,787 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 220,000$123,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,199.99 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 44c | 197,048$87,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,416.28 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 89,826$49,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,404.3 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 63,251$34,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,705.47 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 44c | 51,930$23,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,902.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 41,964$23,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,247.83 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres | 45c | 39,925$17,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,958.79 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres | 44c | 39,063$17,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,808.71 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 30c | 21,778$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.17 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 19,419$10,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,680.25 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 45c | 19,000$8,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 55c | 17,564$9,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,657.88 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 54c | 12,990$7,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.41 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Sabres | 45c | 11,040$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,072 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sabres | 47c | 10,461$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.22 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Golden Knights | 54c | 10,325$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,546.66 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sabres | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sabres | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sabres | 45c | 9,636$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.45 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 54c | 9,500$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 54c | 9,500$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.94 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Golden Knights | 53c | 9,456$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Sabres | 72c | 9,161$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.05 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Sabres | 72c | 8,640$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 8,100$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 47c | 7,925$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.21 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Sabres | 65c | 7,853$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 7,684$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.51 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 73c | 7,531$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.47 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Sabres | 45c | 6,695$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.23 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Sabres | 46c | 6,599$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.42 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 44c | 6,536$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.22 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Sabres | 74c | 6,370$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sabres | 46c | 5,778$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.5 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Sabres | 46c | 5,555$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.55 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…b126backed Golden Knights | 54c | 5,434$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Golden Knights | 53c | 5,072$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.19 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Sabres | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Golden Knights | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Sabres | 46c | 4,996$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres | 46c | 4,827$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.89 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Golden Knights | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sabres | 45c | 4,500$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 45c | 4,500$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Golden Knights | 21c | 4,350$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 51c | 4,273$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.13 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 47c | 4,171$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.63 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 4,094$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.96 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Sabres | 45c | 3,992$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 27c | 3,874$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.35 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Sabres | 64c | 3,704$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Sabres | 45c | 3,452$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Sabres | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Golden Knights | 38c | 3,397$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Golden Knights | 55c | 3,389$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.93 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 15c | 3,224$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.15 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Sabres | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sabres | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sabres | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.96 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Golden Knights | 23c | 2,779$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.89 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 47c | 2,777$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.24 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,688$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.59 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 47c | 2,468$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 21c | 2,362$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…79f1backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,257$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sabres | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,116$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.38 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 45c | 2,106$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.29 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Golden Knights | 54c | 2,099$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.51 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,745$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.06 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sabres | 71c | 1,730$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Sabres | 48c | 1,595$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.23 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 1,538$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…0bedbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,531$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.46 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Sabres | 45c | 1,522$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.31 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Sabres | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,485$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed Sabres | 71c | 1,483$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Sabres | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 58c | 1,439$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…5fb5backed Sabres | 45c | 1,420$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.13 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 54c | 1,400$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Golden Knights | 28c | 1,332$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Sabres | 66c | 1,179$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Golden Knights | 31c | 1,138$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.07 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Sabres | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Sabres | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Sabres | 47c | 1,055$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Sabres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.