NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f73fa30a8d3d81af7ad1f01d99fe8924c076c67b224d35428c4d9f2cc5a6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Flyers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Flyers | 44c | 59,027$25,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,971.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 56c | 50,712$28,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,148.16 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flyers | 42c | 50,637$21,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,061.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 58c | 48,789$28,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,420.14 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Flyers | 43c | 35,102$15,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,094.04 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 57c | 29,000$16,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,610 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 59c | 11,616$6,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 57c | 8,468$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.22 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 57c | 4,179$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.45 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 41c | 3,985$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…da67backed Flyers | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…9fd1backed Flyers | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…785ebacked Capitals | 58c | 3,600$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…fc70backed Capitals | 58c | 3,600$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 58c | 3,435$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.39 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Capitals | 59c | 3,379$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.75 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Flyers | 0c | 3,310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 42c | 3,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…faa9backed Capitals | 58c | 3,100$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…8ab1backed Flyers | 42c | 3,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals | 56c | 3,040$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.8 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 56c | 2,960$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.43 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Capitals | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 40c | 1,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 57c | 1,653$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.79 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,492$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 11c | 1,441$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Flyers | 41c | 1,422$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.03 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flyers | 42c | 1,401$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Capitals | 58c | 1,361$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.79 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 39c | 1,295$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.53 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19f…d8b2backed Flyers | 42c | 1,140$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…dce7backed Flyers | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…d11abacked Capitals | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Capitals | 56c | 1,062$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flyers | 22c | 1,042$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 58c | 1,010$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.18 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flyers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Capitals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Capitals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 25c | 824.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Capitals | 58c | 822.78$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Capitals | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 58c | 772.54$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 71c | 772$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Flyers | 46c | 767.09$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.86 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Capitals | 56c | 760.47$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f2…876dbacked Flyers | 41c | 749.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed Capitals | 59c | 730$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…0534backed Capitals | 58c | 721.34$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 57c | 668.03$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7755…25ccbacked Capitals | 59c | 635.59$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…9cafbacked Capitals | 60c | 610$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…d96dbacked Flyers | 42c | 596.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Flyers | 12c | 583$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Flyers | 38c | 574.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.11 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Capitals | 56c | 540$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…6e7ebacked Flyers | 41c | 530$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Flyers | 12c | 509$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Capitals | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Capitals | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 57c | 499.93$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…a5d7backed Capitals | 59c | 486.39$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…116fbacked Capitals | 58c | 444.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…2fe7backed Capitals | 58c | 431.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Capitals | 73c | 430.17$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…409fbacked Capitals | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Capitals | 63c | 407.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Flyers | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Capitals | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Capitals | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…9bd1backed Flyers | 37c | 397.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Capitals | 58c | 393.38$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Capitals | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…5e81backed Flyers | 43c | 371.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…e356backed Flyers | 43c | 365.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Capitals | 65c | 355.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…e986backed Flyers | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…2ef6backed Flyers | 43c | 347.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…c199backed Flyers | 43c | 347.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…d5b5backed Capitals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…ddf9backed Capitals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…c3ddbacked Flyers | 42c | 338.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…c35cbacked Capitals | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596d…1aadbacked Capitals | 65c | 330$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6701backed Flyers | 40c | 327.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…bb32backed Capitals | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 57c | 319.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…6f07backed Flyers | 42c | 309$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…7b53backed Capitals | 59c | 309$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…2253backed Capitals | 58c | 307.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Capitalsthis page
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.