TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$607,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bd…238ebacked Flyers44c345,961$150,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,269.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+69.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rangers57c100,000$57,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers56c77,996$43,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,67856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Rangers56c65,197$36,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,427.0867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rangers57c64,555$36,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,476.9848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Flyers22c17,082$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,30562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers43c13,929$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,939.5447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Rangers56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6006653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Rangers58c8,276$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers44c7,712$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,346.961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Rangers64c7,211$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.0521856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Rangers56c7,160$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.626058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers45c6,000$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.951,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers60c5,346$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.0982043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers57c4,763$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.5861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Flyers43c4,736$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.3138844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers35c4,135$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.531,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rangers63c4,046$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.2339344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Flyers50c4,028$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.311553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers54c3,744$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.3286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rangers54c3,592$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.7650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.3733243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Rangers57c3,347$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.6130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Flyers42c3,176$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.852846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Rangers58c3,175$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.2758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers59c3,115$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.4252172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe1…ea1abacked Flyers44c3,059$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.811266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers57c3,058$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.342,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rangers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.927243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers38c2,900$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.8960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Rangers57c2,684$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.3343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers56c2,639$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.051,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Rangers1c2,599$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9324352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Rangers58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rangers55c2,503$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.441,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe085…cd9abacked Rangers1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers54c2,197$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.3879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers57c1,960$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.1944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rangers56c1,854$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.2421755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Rangers58c1,612$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.525563.6%35 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers65c1,585$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.161,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Rangers59c1,554$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.5857157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers57c1,517$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.691,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Flyers36c1,510$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.1343743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed Flyers22c1,477$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…fc11backed Flyers47c1,433$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.722133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rangers56c1,352$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.3243742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers42c1,349$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.2952050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b9…41a9backed Flyers30c1,220$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.8723159.3%137 W · 94 L+22.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rangers66c1,146$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.9499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers63c1,047$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.413,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Rangers63c1,039$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Rangers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe949…33bebacked Flyers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flyers46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9927150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Rangers74c979.43$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.789258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Rangers58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers56c830.14$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Flyers43c827.96$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9426551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Rangers58c819.09$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.695735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Rangers57c805.19$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45910438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Flyers47c765.81$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.887647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Flyers22c745.45$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4513845.7%63 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7755…25ccbacked Rangers54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Rangers59c737.32$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6337857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd3…bdbcbacked Rangers54c694.44$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rangers57c686.27$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9538738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers59c615.03$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rangers76c606.69$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.021,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers53c593.79$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Rangers59c523.54$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ede…17cbbacked Flyers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806958%40 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Flyers42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Flyers43c499.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9974951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Flyers45c482.59$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9386549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39d…2c58backed Rangers54c481.49$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Rangers54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Flyers42c455.23$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.422060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Flyers45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4412058.3%70 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Rangers9c444$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9613435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Rangers63c442$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.452245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Flyers44c431.81$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.814141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Rangers57c403.51$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Flyers47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Rangers56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Flyers32c398.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0521555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rangers57c395$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers29c371.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.361,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers34c360.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.91,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11bb…6951backed Rangers54c352.63$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623e…6ab6backed Rangers54c351.94$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.