NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0fb351a75a16c0e4ba622a87af9bba77a5d9e44eceeba9b7b9b467e7332287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,354,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,365,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,354,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,049 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Red Wings | 54c | 347,717$186,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,890.42 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 46c | 164,590$76,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,216 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 47c | 150,049$70,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,195.76 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 53c | 127,834$67,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,420.46 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 52c | 103,741$54,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,291.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Kings | 47c | 98,991$46,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,465.47 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kings | 47c | 74,011$34,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,226.01 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kings | 46c | 73,574$33,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,730.09 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Red Wings | 23c | 69,695$15,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,778.32 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 46c | 65,260$30,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,240.45 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Kings | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Kings | 47c | 32,914$15,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,444.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 72c | 29,625$21,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,224.05 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Wings | 52c | 28,000$14,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,560.17 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Kings | 48c | 24,521$11,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750.92 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 61c | 18,871$11,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.1 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…8362backed Kings | 48c | 16,171$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,408.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Kings | 48c | 15,691$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,191.49 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 53c | 15,050$7,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,976.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 53c | 14,179$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,581.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Red Wings | 27c | 14,102$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.1 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 54c | 14,000$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79db…5f42backed Red Wings | 52c | 13,971$7,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Red Wings | 54c | 10,492$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.21 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Kings | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…f4f1backed Kings | 48c | 9,994$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 46c | 9,212$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.83 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 43c | 8,634$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.06 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 53c | 8,513$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Red Wings | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 47c | 8,000$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.96 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 47c | 7,897$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.46 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Red Wings | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 36c | 4,952$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.44 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 46c | 4,510$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.81 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Kings | 47c | 4,089$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 21c | 3,892$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Red Wings | 55c | 3,832$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.5 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…0fa9backed Red Wings | 53c | 3,458$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 47c | 3,200$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.79 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 29c | 3,188$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.8 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 53c | 2,936$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Kings | 66c | 2,771$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.49 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kings | 45c | 2,713$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.35 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,520$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Kings | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7949…1910backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,490$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings | 33c | 2,367$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.42 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 49c | 2,310$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.86 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,262$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.19 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Red Wings | 41c | 2,041$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.32 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 58c | 1,954$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…73d2backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,950$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…5d36backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,907$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…65e8backed Kings | 48c | 1,907$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,886$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.52 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 46c | 1,879$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.17 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kings | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Kings | 48c | 1,755$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.18 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…fa0cbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,740$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,707$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.77 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,705$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.32 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,616$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.05 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kings | 44c | 1,607$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.57 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,541$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.67 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.88 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…0ccdbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,497$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb746…14f4backed Kings | 45c | 1,497$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…f4d9backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,494$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…9a01backed Kings | 45c | 1,494$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…5470backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,492$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…151fbacked Kings | 45c | 1,492$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…cb17backed Kings | 45c | 1,490$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…6d1bbacked Kings | 45c | 1,490$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…e4debacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,490$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…6424backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,490$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…21a4backed Kings | 45c | 1,485$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…5a35backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,485$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…d38fbacked Kings | 45c | 1,482$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…2979backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,482$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…b120backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,481$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…f685backed Kings | 45c | 1,481$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…5ac8backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,481$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…962dbacked Kings | 45c | 1,481$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…0848backed Kings | 45c | 1,478$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Kings vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.