TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Under53c63,693$33,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,061.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c20,260$9,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,425.7756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c8,879$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.982,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0900…3e1dbacked Over52c8,706$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c6,083$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.922,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over49c6,077$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c3,956$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.982,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Over52c3,800$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1be6…67a7backed Under48c3,800$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c3,001$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c2,840$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.141,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4821…cbbdbacked Under48c2,753$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ae…d083backed Under48c2,522$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…8765backed Under48c2,453$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0647…27b6backed Over52c2,254$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under51c1,953$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.1510056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over49c1,807$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.423647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3896…13a0backed Over52c1,745$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c9…3dc7backed Over52c1,652$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56e…68fbbacked Over52c1,536$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c1,517$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.9432650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over49c1,489$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.613458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c1,396$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddde…70a4backed Over52c1,352$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8663…3fffbacked Over49c1,310$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Under52c1,083$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.712166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Under53c1,064$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.155856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c1,000$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c833.97$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.611,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6f7fbacked Under48c811$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c639.45$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.322,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c609.92$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30083149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over49c597.62$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.475242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over49c595.1$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.614753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22249546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c401$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.491,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Over50c278.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014065.7%92 W · 48 L+13.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c257.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0660741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over48c239.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.916235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over49c226.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5227453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under53c220.13$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2916447.6%78 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over48c207.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.55560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012756.7%72 W · 55 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10062447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Over49c161.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c161.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9318551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over49c150.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0413954%75 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over50c146.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.415349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over47c144.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.254245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under52c144.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2418548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over48c132$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.366167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over48c123.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3878651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over49c114.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.053641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over49c104$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622443.3%97 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…8d4cbacked Over48c78.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.823844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over48c59.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.266162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under52c57.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.533756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under52c50.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9519652.6%103 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259159.3%54 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.543354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a7…69e4backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.226243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c6b…a5d5backed Over49c37.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Over49c37.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over47c35.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8316254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over42c35.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9926657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c35.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.991,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fb…5623backed Under78c31.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158950.6%45 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c34…7ef3backed Over49c31.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8716756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…fc0abacked Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Under52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.442254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over47c27.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.785742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Under52c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515447.4%73 W · 81 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.