TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c8,484$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.3990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c5,269$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.774,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c4,413$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.3326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over45c3,438$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.641957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under55c2,591$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.1550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over65c2,187$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.363764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c1,520$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.1330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under56c1,107$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c1,060$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.252,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c1,019$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.781,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over43c788.27$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.9113728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c758.09$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.393,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over70c723.81$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1420857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.674146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+78%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over67c656.72$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7212875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c617$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over49c599.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3065759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under9c599.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4820148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c340.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf2…8e4abacked Under61c330.67$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over59c244.07$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.075151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over45c235.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9711444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c235.56$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.565950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2722450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3911929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.992462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over58c191.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.441560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c181.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9832145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c153.91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8512650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.511559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under40c133.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.015855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under42c125.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c122.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c119.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4934050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over45c113.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.496861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over58c113$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.242250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over45c111.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1122638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over75c106.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c99.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over63c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.154744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over46c87.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5114850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under55c82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over45c79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.452065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over46c77.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.595349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c72.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…1c3ebacked Under56c71.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over66c71.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.056650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over61c67.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.498075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over58c59.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.163046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over69c58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.982070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c55.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.871,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over63c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5311947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.355343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over46c53.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9411651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over49c53.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…f92abacked Over45c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over45c51.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1138748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over46c45.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…5f03backed Under57c40.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…19babacked Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Under56c39.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over75c38.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6710761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e26…865abacked Over45c35.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Over40c34.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b7…7611backed Under56c33.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0568…0bcbbacked Under56c32.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9117648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.