La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61cc6336836c2155e2c207a614873865381a954768213e95c12691e2226589e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Mallorcaof Real Betis Balompié, RCD Mallorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 8,020$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.22 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Real Betis Balompié | 18c | 5,579$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 203.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Real Betis Balompié | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed RCD Mallorca | 69c | 144.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Real Betis Balompié | 29c | 112.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 90.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed RCD Mallorca | 67c | 66.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Betis Balompié | 15c | 64.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Real Betis Balompié | 30c | 61.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Real Betis Balompié | 44c | 49.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed RCD Mallorca | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 54c | 32.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed RCD Mallorca | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked RCD Mallorca | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Real Betis Balompié | 64c | 22.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 73c | 15.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.