TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over4c29,572$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.59650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c14,833$8,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,476.884,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over48c6,700$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,21612553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under76c5,303$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.0790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c4,692$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.281,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c3,334$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.673,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over25c3,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.982454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over51c3,181$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under79c2,600$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5469736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c1,084$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.614153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over51c1,040$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.263043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ae…19fdbacked Over21c972.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over44c905.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c830.85$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.851,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over32c769.37$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2122859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e99…e794backed Under76c709.75$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over29c697$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over45c549$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over54c521.29$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.183764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over44c499.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.869052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over40c468$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1912944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over39c465$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3215246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over39c445$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.32250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over33c300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9916745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over47c254.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.482653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over45c237.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Over23c215.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c214.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7618842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Under52c209.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2b…4c50backed Under59c189.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over49c135.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under65c131.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.117044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8732145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over47c128.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9334050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under68c121.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.212958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010547.6%50 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over44c111.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over54c107.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over22c104.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Under60c100.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.093941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3762744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4476…e0bfbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…5540backed Over25c90.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over33c78.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over40c73.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35761.4%35 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.118958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over35c69.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.295343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Over27c67.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.944082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Over25c60.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2311751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under54c59.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.167852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under50c53.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Under67c46.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.432951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over49c45.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4117458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under76c44.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+136.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over33c38.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c33.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0128446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6506…a04bbacked Under66c30.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under58c28.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.127850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over46c26.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over55c23.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102763%17 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614f…114dbacked Under66c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.672544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.