La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc83e398390c705427b4a6b1c3743259d419507c9968f8bfdfbedecffe889696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 6,143$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.31 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 4,972$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.76 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…b2bdbacked Under | 29c | 4,004$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…a820backed Over | 71c | 3,700$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 72c | 1,919$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 1,094$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 72c | 925.93$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 908.24$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Under | 17c | 839.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 69c | 606.88$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 573.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…59ffbacked Under | 3c | 478.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 72c | 423.61$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Over | 71c | 414.37$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 27c | 365.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 361.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 72c | 347.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 29c | 344.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 71c | 340.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…c929backed Under | 30c | 327.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…0a6cbacked Over | 71c | 305.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3c10backed Over | 71c | 207.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 202.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 30c | 178$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 70c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 17c | 168.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 154$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…6dfdbacked Over | 71c | 120.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 19c | 117.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Under | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 96.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 83.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 72c | 55.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 52.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…74bcbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…d3e2backed Over | 69c | 49.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 44.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 72c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…0e8abacked Over | 72c | 29.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 72c | 26.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…1550backed Over | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.