Music · resolved market
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b080093a8b8eade06f36e577ca260e2bcc37c7fcfe0304036d6dfd051825507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,153,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,307,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,153,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 408,426$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 362,296$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.28 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 245,181$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.36 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 0c | 111,439$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…1ec4backed Yes | 0c | 93,796$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 73,839$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.52 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 61,859$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 0c | 57,002$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 55,678$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 44,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 0c | 42,951$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.56 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 0c | 37,411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…1c3fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,288$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 0c | 22,970$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…f73bbacked Yes | 1c | 21,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…ed01backed Yes | 0c | 20,855$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…864ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…5a16backed Yes | 0c | 19,073$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 19,029$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…2852backed Yes | 0c | 18,849$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…5dd1backed Yes | 1c | 18,146$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,307$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3477backed Yes | 0c | 12,670$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…e8b0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…ae0fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,637$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…9087backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…8455backed Yes | 0c | 10,516$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 1c | 10,239$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…120cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…67f4backed Yes | 0c | 8,339$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 8,269$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…a693backed Yes | 0c | 8,163$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acb…de36backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…e24cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,767$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…3cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…7302backed Yes | 0c | 5,436$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…43ddbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…3020backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…9dd3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…20d1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…6a77backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed Yes | 0c | 4,867$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…c8bebacked Yes | 0c | 4,633$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5601…077bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,072$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 4,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…33b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,952$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…380ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,942$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,694$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…31f6backed Yes | 0c | 3,691$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…70d5backed Yes | 1c | 3,660$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…04b4backed Yes | 4c | 3,545$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…da3ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,540$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…d1bcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,375$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…ae46backed Yes | 1c | 3,340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c98…47fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…cef5backed Yes | 0c | 3,178$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,981$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c9…5ce6backed Yes | 0c | 2,915$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…fb2dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,833$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…9844backed Yes | 0c | 2,770$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…ede2backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…e5f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,418$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…83edbacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 0c | 2,343$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…20d7backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…3c0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 1,554$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,238$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…b0d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,124$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…d144backed Yes | 5c | 1,041$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 2c | 979.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 1c | 723.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 3c | 669.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 577.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…e371backed Yes | 5c | 551.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes | 6c | 361.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…3a39backed Yes | 5c | 347.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3130…f2cbbacked Yes | 5c | 267$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…e92ebacked Yes | 5c | 260.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.