TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,395,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$603,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,395,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c174,832$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.6822927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes1c37,307$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.48333%1 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes0c37,000$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick19cpaid+37.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b3a…6a54backed Yes1c29,500$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid-18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c26,024$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.14561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes5c19,520$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.67723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c16,675$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2814835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Yes4c16,434$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes2c12,487$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.272524%6 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes2c12,068$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.037626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes1c11,070$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.42280%0 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d3…2136backed Yes2c10,654$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.84230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…62a1backed Yes1c10,601$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes1c9,498$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-91.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed Yes3c8,670$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes1c7,413$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.54329.4%3 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0871…96a2backed Yes0c7,170$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.02100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116f…6fadbacked Yes1c6,636$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes1c5,523$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.43385.3%2 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-91.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c5,217$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3324732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Yes1c5,143$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes1c5,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.082810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+174.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e8…c939backed Yes1c5,000$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20370%0 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes1c5,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes3c4,057$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.210630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes4c3,610$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.866533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f6…6cc1backed Yes1c3,325$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes2c3,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63330%0 W · 33 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8e…d191backed Yes1c2,938$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes2c2,809$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.77119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c2,773$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe918…dd23backed Yes1c2,573$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c2,568$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71680%0 W · 68 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176b…1fe9backed Yes2c2,490$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes1c2,400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x103d…f7eabacked Yes1c2,204$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05e…941ebacked Yes1c2,106$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ff…fc59backed Yes1c2,095$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Yes2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0982…5deabacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-85.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes2c1,970$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.016240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes2c1,850$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1515119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed Yes3c1,814$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes2c1,693$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+116.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cf…5f1ebacked Yes1c1,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Yes2c1,497$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.77911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-82.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes1c1,410$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.074615.2%7 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes1c1,318$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68300%0 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes2c1,299$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfe…2169backed Yes1c1,258$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec3…5ba8backed Yes1c1,221$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…0ef0backed Yes2c1,172$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e01…65dbbacked Yes2c1,162$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e7…b0f7backed Yes3c1,110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd33…b5a8backed Yes1c1,058$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c85…9e34backed Yes1c1,020$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.19263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-94.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.74930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…9dd3backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1190%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes3c970.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.68185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes2c940.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.057234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed Yes2c882.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8083…12adbacked Yes1c782.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes4c780$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.334012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5527…223abacked Yes2c739.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0786…1e76backed Yes2c713$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1479…487cbacked Yes3c536.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid-14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a7…dc56backed Yes4c532.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9765…fddcbacked Yes3c530.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.484440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffb…7679backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c498.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.264629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a84…294abacked Yes5c433.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes2c404.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-53.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes4c333$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54429.5%4 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes6c330$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724761.7%29 W · 18 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x479e…23b3backed Yes5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes4c280.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.