Music · resolved market
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16674f35a243f05bbb228f84c513885315788ed4ab248ed971b3ac7353d077b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,708,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,708,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 183,954$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.41 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 135,851$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.27 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…6b86backed Yes | 0c | 110,493$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 0c | 101,824$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.55 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 76,364$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.09 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 1c | 66,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 58,065$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 47,540$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 2c | 41,956$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.21 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 0c | 33,128$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 0c | 25,455$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 0c | 25,134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 1c | 20,965$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 1c | 20,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…1818backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 1c | 19,999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…2eb0backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,413$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes | 0c | 14,803$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 14,777$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 13,991$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af6…a11abacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…cc45backed Yes | 1c | 11,794$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,309$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…a315backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…1f8abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…49ecbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…6a8ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,490$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…962abacked Yes | 1c | 7,345$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…05f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,838$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,706$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 0c | 6,690$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c5d0backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…c1a9backed Yes | 1c | 6,344$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 5,422$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 0c | 5,361$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,162$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…1aa2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…6bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 0c | 4,667$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 4,570$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…9db9backed Yes | 0c | 4,503$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…f22cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 1c | 4,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…bce3backed Yes | 0c | 4,203$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 4,179$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a46…0667backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ec…3bfbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,833$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…98e6backed Yes | 1c | 3,502$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…50acbacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…d521backed Yes | 0c | 3,286$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…66c4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,911$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…c5ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…4a07backed Yes | 0c | 2,723$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…c0f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,628$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…63d3backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…525dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,366$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…1d56backed Yes | 1c | 2,228$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…ffccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,214$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…1a1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,174$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…b6cabacked Yes | 1c | 2,167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1b…e2e2backed Yes | 1c | 2,126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…68fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…e094backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…9dd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…d557backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…0bf5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…6747backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,898$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 1c | 1,763$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 1c | 1,738$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,518$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…ef47backed Yes | 1c | 1,467$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f60…ac50backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…76bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 955.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…e1b1backed Yes | 1c | 947.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 856.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.