Music · resolved market
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebcbd389ca979bdd84df0aa4276a86bbd0d62517c776ceaeba552888fb0e416e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,785,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,157,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,785,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 179,311$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.03 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes | 1c | 171,294$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 142,158$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.37 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 88,244$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…630cbacked Yes | 1c | 59,164$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 0c | 57,437$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.23 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 1c | 57,299$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 48,546$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 46,708$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…7a95backed Yes | 1c | 40,350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 24,114$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 0c | 23,050$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…b6babacked Yes | 0c | 22,259$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…45a3backed Yes | 1c | 21,768$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 1c | 20,197$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…f818backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 1c | 18,796$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 17,865$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 1c | 16,875$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 16,344$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 16,047$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…b7ffbacked Yes | 1c | 12,270$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…fdeabacked Yes | 0c | 11,570$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 0c | 10,682$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…7028backed Yes | 1c | 10,137$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,076$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…c20abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…b81bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebd…cb20backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c6…dfe7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…b41cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,801$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Yes | 1c | 8,761$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…5cb0backed Yes | 0c | 8,292$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…5f0fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,122$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…e835backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…20d1backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…5e97backed Yes | 2c | 6,514$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Yes | 1c | 5,925$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 5,555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…34ccbacked Yes | 1c | 5,477$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…64c6backed Yes | 1c | 5,186$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…5a7bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,001$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…aabbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…a1eabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 1c | 4,890$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…b672backed Yes | 1c | 4,781$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…fa88backed Yes | 1c | 4,523$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…bd37backed Yes | 1c | 4,451$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29dd…6fd4backed Yes | 0c | 4,385$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…3a53backed Yes | 1c | 4,330$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 1c | 4,051$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 1c | 3,760$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…a00ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,755$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 3,667$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…e480backed Yes | 1c | 3,612$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,423$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5267backed Yes | 1c | 3,418$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,373$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…76b6backed Yes | 1c | 3,173$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…02ddbacked Yes | 1c | 3,012$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,012$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…bd75backed Yes | 1c | 3,007$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940f…5941backed Yes | 1c | 2,910$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,605$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…d291backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156c…ad2abacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…b34bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,479$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 1c | 2,408$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…6c30backed Yes | 1c | 2,402$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…8ea2backed Yes | 1c | 2,370$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…8500backed Yes | 1c | 2,354$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…5fa3backed Yes | 1c | 2,185$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…9440backed Yes | 1c | 2,109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…96b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,081$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,007$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…1549backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…e230backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…ff2cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…4bbbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…6cc1backed Yes | 2c | 1,855$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…0944backed Yes | 1c | 1,834$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…92c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,729$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…0f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c58ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,654$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.