Music · resolved market
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5e043ee3cec6bf13db32898b940f86c459c8f0509d007535b44f4e6fa4b0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,623,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,623,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 163,512$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.77 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 131,003$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.84 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 115,261$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.44 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 0c | 110,480$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.06 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 75,107$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.76 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 73,399$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 63,629$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 55,601$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.17 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…1794backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 0c | 37,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 3c | 32,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…2b98backed Yes | 1c | 32,710$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 1c | 28,460$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 24,137$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed Yes | 0c | 23,365$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 1c | 23,036$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 1c | 19,777$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 0c | 19,041$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 18,250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…3395backed Yes | 1c | 15,030$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…d660backed Yes | 0c | 13,640$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 12,863$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 1c | 12,718$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…2af4backed Yes | 0c | 12,533$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…56efbacked Yes | 0c | 11,490$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 0c | 11,350$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,749$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…e68bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,547$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…30a0backed Yes | 1c | 7,656$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbf…2f3fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,646$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…47bcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,844$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 1c | 6,682$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 6,581$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…e520backed Yes | 1c | 6,225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 1c | 5,834$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…88c4backed Yes | 1c | 5,620$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…c474backed Yes | 1c | 5,264$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc403…43a3backed Yes | 1c | 4,808$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…cd88backed Yes | 0c | 4,437$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…1e04backed Yes | 0c | 4,271$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 1c | 4,019$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…2329backed Yes | 0c | 3,917$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…57f3backed Yes | 0c | 3,660$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…f73bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,499$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…c78ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,360$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…d33ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,216$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…1abfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 2,907$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…4e4ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,873$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 1c | 2,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…e738backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…a1ecbacked Yes | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…0f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,646$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…d1ebbacked Yes | 0c | 2,558$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,503$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,499$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…240bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 1c | 2,232$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…43ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…8519backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…70d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…0673backed Yes | 1c | 1,933$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 1c | 1,889$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…3f65backed Yes | 1c | 1,880$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…074ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,878$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…701ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,877$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,868$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,846$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 1,833$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…f4fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,827$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…5fa3backed Yes | 1c | 1,724$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…d3dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,720$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…c197backed Yes | 1c | 1,698$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…3e0dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…6c26backed Yes | 1c | 1,598$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 1c | 1,338$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…d46fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…c8b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,254$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…133dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…ef47backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.