Music · resolved market
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b38be7d23ad6179dbbc460e4f753760594c3fb64478f2d441776cbcd794db8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,660,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,660,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 186,112$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.74 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 85,090$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.18 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Yes | 1c | 73,057$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 65,328$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.3 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…b81bbacked Yes | 1c | 64,676$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 47,156$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 1c | 46,489$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 38,277$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad73…a795backed Yes | 2c | 37,220$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc657…9f83backed Yes | 1c | 31,469$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 30,900$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 29,785$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.3 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 1c | 24,664$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 1c | 20,140$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…cc71backed Yes | 1c | 20,025$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 18,954$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…197dbacked Yes | 1c | 17,026$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,749$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…cbf4backed Yes | 1c | 12,759$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…f9cdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,818$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 11,206$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 1c | 10,348$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…98cebacked Yes | 1c | 10,163$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…94d6backed Yes | 0c | 9,788$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 1c | 9,388$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2732…3085backed Yes | 2c | 8,711$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Yes | 1c | 8,259$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…9dd3backed Yes | 1c | 7,205$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…af66backed Yes | 1c | 7,196$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…db56backed Yes | 2c | 7,032$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…a2ddbacked Yes | 1c | 6,860$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…eec1backed Yes | 1c | 6,698$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…6658backed Yes | 1c | 6,665$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…2f05backed Yes | 1c | 6,571$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…8a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,943$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 1c | 5,535$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…d7fabacked Yes | 1c | 5,335$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,186$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…e076backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…f9bebacked Yes | 1c | 4,646$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 1c | 4,453$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…9398backed Yes | 0c | 4,418$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0825backed Yes | 1c | 4,116$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…87e8backed Yes | 0c | 4,075$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…5599backed Yes | 1c | 4,043$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0da0backed Yes | 1c | 4,040$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8b…0108backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…8b3fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…ea12backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…59cbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,710$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…60edbacked Yes | 1c | 3,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,661$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…8519backed Yes | 1c | 3,656$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,604$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a8f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,584$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c24dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,570$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c29…04ddbacked Yes | 1c | 3,533$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…764bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…971fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,493$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…437fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,393$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…4c0fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,378$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791a…1bb4backed Yes | 2c | 3,341$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…0bf5backed Yes | 1c | 3,300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed Yes | 1c | 3,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137d…8358backed Yes | 1c | 3,155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…5204backed Yes | 1c | 3,134$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…5fb4backed Yes | 2c | 3,127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…3b89backed Yes | 1c | 3,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 1c | 3,121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -82%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…1e04backed Yes | 1c | 3,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 3,038$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…7eafbacked Yes | 2c | 3,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…8061backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444d…d333backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8f…bcebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…e8b3backed Yes | 0c | 2,792$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…9cadbacked Yes | 1c | 2,621$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2009…3e44backed Yes | 0c | 2,620$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…cd88backed Yes | 1c | 2,580$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae7…6cd4backed Yes | 1c | 2,526$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 1c | 2,509$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…a813backed Yes | 1c | 2,507$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…3622backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1278…1033backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cf61backed Yes | 1c | 2,398$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…16e0backed Yes | 1c | 2,285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.