Music · resolved market
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea4ec25d0491fa7c374ed61762ec9d604c52b56df0d8c5f30ccdb71a838bc1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc903…ed01backed Yes | 1c | 186,508$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 134,730$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.58 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 107,043$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.34 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 5c | 90,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 73,178$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.43 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 1c | 55,107$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 2c | 52,644$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 39,725$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 38,067$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 2c | 36,329$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Yes | 4c | 34,210$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 1c | 25,353$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 4c | 24,423$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.88 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes | 1c | 21,805$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,601$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…d33ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,447$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…69efbacked Yes | 1c | 10,736$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 3c | 10,641$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 9,933$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…7420backed Yes | 2c | 9,329$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 8,456$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…9befbacked Yes | 1c | 8,037$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…98cebacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…195bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5267backed Yes | 1c | 7,669$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…6747backed Yes | 1c | 7,261$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 1c | 7,191$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f04…b950backed Yes | 1c | 7,090$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…7642backed Yes | 0c | 6,669$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,610$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 2c | 6,506$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 3c | 6,500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,131$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 3c | 6,077$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed Yes | 1c | 5,741$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,694$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…7217backed Yes | 2c | 5,532$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 5,368$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,310$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ad41backed Yes | 1c | 5,222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,176$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…e520backed Yes | 1c | 5,157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333e…369bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,728$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 4,525$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62c…c9f4backed Yes | 1c | 4,514$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…f49fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…1ad5backed Yes | 1c | 4,441$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…341cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,435$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 4,057$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 3,858$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad73…a795backed Yes | 5c | 3,680$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,638$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 4c | 3,600$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…77c7backed Yes | 2c | 3,600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…911dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,533$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237d…6d0dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…c5d7backed Yes | 3c | 3,496$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,288$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 1c | 3,232$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…1e04backed Yes | 1c | 3,129$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…9664backed Yes | 3c | 3,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Yes | 2c | 2,925$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 1c | 2,863$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…bd75backed Yes | 2c | 2,845$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 2,706$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…09a8backed Yes | 5c | 2,597$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c5d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,560$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…6113backed Yes | 1c | 2,560$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…efd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,486$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,390$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…f931backed Yes | 3c | 2,310$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +197.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…6962backed Yes | 3c | 2,167$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…0a22backed Yes | 1c | 2,154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…d643backed Yes | 1c | 2,134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 1c | 2,111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…054cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,091$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…b491backed Yes | 1c | 2,067$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,054$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…eeffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,052$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…5004backed Yes | 1c | 2,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked Yes | 1c | 2,004$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…ac92backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 2c | 1,990$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1b68backed Yes | 1c | 1,846$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 3c | 1,823$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.