Music · resolved market
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff54605054d6070060667186f674f6b1bb85413b0dea7ad510b252a45409f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,149,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,785,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,149,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 23c | 131,581$30,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,342.96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 75c | 71,806$53,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,853.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 14c | 71,114$10,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,889.61 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 27c | 64,015$17,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,507.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…ac0dbacked Yes | 19c | 62,679$11,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,051.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 23c | 62,050$14,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,646.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…df91backed No | 3c | 57,878$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 29c | 48,433$13,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,536.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 23c | 38,965$8,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,052.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 23c | 30,000$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,951.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 19c | 21,911$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,669.02 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed No | 76c | 21,652$16,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,523.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…43a8backed Yes | 24c | 20,648$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,674.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 24c | 19,453$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,824.25 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…55d3backed Yes | 23c | 18,028$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,856.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 74c | 16,409$12,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,069.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 28c | 16,094$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,541.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 23c | 15,878$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,286.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 78c | 15,623$12,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,207.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 20c | 13,554$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.67 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 45c | 13,212$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 24c | 12,879$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,826.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…ba9fbacked Yes | 5c | 12,256$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,677.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +2,019.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 11,494$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,864.55 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…2911backed Yes | 22c | 11,413$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,869.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 77c | 10,808$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,271.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…5dbabacked Yes | 24c | 10,591$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,027.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 21c | 9,998$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,876.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 27c | 9,904$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 22c | 9,686$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 23c | 9,173$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.83 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 22c | 9,140$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.11 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 24c | 8,998$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,878.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 69c | 8,224$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 24c | 8,060$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.99 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…c5d0backed Yes | 26c | 8,050$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…5224backed Yes | 33c | 7,775$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 23c | 7,064$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.44 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 7,005$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.76 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes | 28c | 7,000$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 27c | 6,896$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…2a0dbacked Yes | 24c | 6,872$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 75c | 6,777$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad73…a795backed Yes | 26c | 6,241$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 31c | 6,065$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 23c | 5,503$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 32c | 5,447$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…d9ddbacked Yes | 56c | 5,376$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 19c | 5,302$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Yes | 36c | 5,207$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 58c | 4,827$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.77 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Yes | 52c | 4,826$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 79c | 4,749$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 24c | 4,712$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…81e4backed Yes | 26c | 4,383$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 24c | 4,366$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.54 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 1c | 4,356$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 22c | 4,289$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,209$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…a018backed Yes | 20c | 4,042$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 77c | 4,000$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 22c | 4,000$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…174cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,793$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…d954backed Yes | 23c | 3,789$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…7e77backed Yes | 28c | 3,783$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a2…73c4backed Yes | 23c | 3,728$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes | 28c | 3,725$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,620$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 26c | 3,230$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 77c | 3,161$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 3,159$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.99 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…114bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,150$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 21c | 3,068$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.63 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 3,033$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.06 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…9c04backed Yes | 25c | 2,971$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,942$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.36 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 2,942$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 4c | 2,926$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…f8d6backed Yes | 26c | 2,862$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 19c | 2,847$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 2c | 2,652$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 24c | 2,614$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…9ef5backed Yes | 23c | 2,606$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 23c | 2,595$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.86 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,579$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…1c4dbacked Yes | 72c | 2,535$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…da31backed Yes | 35c | 2,502$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 25c | 2,495$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.93 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 21c | 2,367$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.52 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…fb2fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,327$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…7d91backed Yes | 23c | 2,323$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 21c | 2,266$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 21c | 2,260$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,250$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.2 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,239$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…95f8backed Yes | 23c | 2,192$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,158$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.