Music · resolved market
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499a8d119a710062e6d56a3db97e33331a3cad02f9de6cf762d861f61e79f2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,749,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,749,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 1c | 200,955$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.65 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 1c | 151,792$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.85 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 124,861$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 0c | 103,252$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.72 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 84,272$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 81,126$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 61,669$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 55,878$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…155abacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 32,457$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.53 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…7563backed Yes | 1c | 20,804$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…626bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…0118backed Yes | 2c | 19,765$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…0190backed Yes | 0c | 19,120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…d59ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,210$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,635$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 2c | 14,940$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Yes | 2c | 12,990$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 2c | 12,710$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 2c | 12,548$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes | 8c | 12,310$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 2c | 11,996$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…94c7backed Yes | 1c | 11,909$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 1c | 11,900$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 11,346$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 1c | 11,229$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 2c | 10,326$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,246$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 68 | 0%0 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 9,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…60bebacked Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 0c | 8,831$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed Yes | 3c | 8,745$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 0c | 8,624$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 8,598$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 8,558$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…b164backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…e094backed Yes | 3c | 7,727$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 1c | 7,448$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 0c | 7,243$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,097$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…b742backed Yes | 1c | 6,857$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 2c | 6,838$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,789$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…9dd3backed Yes | 1c | 6,749$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,619$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…6fadbacked Yes | 0c | 6,313$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…46e2backed Yes | 1c | 6,212$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 1c | 6,032$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…f974backed Yes | 0c | 5,575$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 1c | 5,349$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 2c | 5,299$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…20d7backed Yes | 1c | 5,238$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…a693backed Yes | 1c | 4,936$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,842$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…6b9bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,758$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c24dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,713$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,603$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…0bf5backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f04…b950backed Yes | 1c | 4,419$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 1c | 4,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 2c | 4,285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…c4aabacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…05f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…d86fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,615$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…76d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,569$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…5deabacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…7937backed Yes | 1c | 3,414$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 2c | 3,286$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 0c | 3,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…60d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 0c | 3,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 3,096$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 3,090$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 1c | 3,004$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…1d4dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…66c4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,919$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d1…549bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7051…7562backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…a1fcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,716$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 1c | 2,704$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 1c | 2,636$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed Yes | 6c | 2,625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…051cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,553$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…d3a5backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 4c | 2,468$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 5c | 2,440$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb636…32bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…23d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 2c | 2,322$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.