TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,173,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,204,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,173,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0222…8ff7backed No57c900,022$511,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,181.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes43c370,000$159,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,900.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c91,175$39,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,359.731,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes44c86,845$38,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,633.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c73,941$32,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,781.2675142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No56c63,329$35,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,464.527138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c50,130$21,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,389.941,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,5004650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes43c48,233$20,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,492.1617251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c34,198$15,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,733.273,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c33,986$14,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,103.8769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6422…a30ebacked No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Yes45c17,320$7,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,574580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes44c9,400$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes43c9,233$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.558037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9208752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c6,008$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.352,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c5,965$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.438748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c3,900$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03056547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a7…7635backed Yes48c3,674$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46c…5d5fbacked No52c3,598$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…4af0backed Yes48c3,081$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ce…d3ecbacked Yes48c2,954$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c2,831$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.9933945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f31…6953backed Yes48c2,789$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5930…012bbacked No52c2,784$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e46…3cf4backed Yes48c2,674$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf836…ab89backed No52c2,634$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0e…edc7backed No52c2,465$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8df…e13ebacked No52c2,437$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89d…f314backed No53c2,426$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes43c2,283$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.4814157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec2d…45a8backed No52c2,195$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a2…be25backed Yes48c2,154$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…87a0backed No53c1,829$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes43c1,627$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.392846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…82ffbacked Yes48c1,575$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85527726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadf…0c4fbacked Yes48c1,465$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No55c1,379$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7353645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No51c1,322$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.341533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No15c1,308$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.065056%28 W · 22 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c1,226$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.981,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No1c1,207$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0713139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No8c1,200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c1,085$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.97639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes46c999.98$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9933244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes48c946.95$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.413363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No50c920.73$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3760%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4688248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No12c865.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9876234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes45c850$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.538055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c847.13$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.155058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes44c801.35$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4135856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c720$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8419347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745c…15fcbacked Yes47c661.11$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No51c660$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.093050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes48c599.97$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.999549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…b57fbacked No57c550$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c549.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9763645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes45c515$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9334342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c512.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7634547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes50c386.41$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4111843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes43c360$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.27935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes47c344.55$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.319446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.66660.6%40 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Yes47c308.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.511741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes47c300.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15916045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed6f…2378backed Yes47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Yes43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked No54c232.24$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed No51c232$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.324634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes46c230.23$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4831145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2717549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes41c209.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.754252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No51c204.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.086450%32 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes47c203.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4548146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…90ddbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11413129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029951.5%51 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed No51c198$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c196.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3756951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes44c196$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No51c191.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes45c162.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2310728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No52c154.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.091250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No50c150.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6210051%51 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.57847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes45c144.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.134959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No53c137.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.131861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed No58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No50c133.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.596053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes48c128$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.564452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.