TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c24,210$5,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,374.1775142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No73c23,916$17,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.553743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c20,956$5,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,537.2969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6422…a30ebacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c14,982$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.73,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…8e62backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c9,625$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.0338748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c8,591$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.012,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes1c6,686$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.261,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes27c6,176$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.510154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed No74c5,388$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.881136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c3,660$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81011354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No71c2,078$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.621855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c1,903$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8130054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes11c1,899$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1480%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,776$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.391,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c1,161$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0434342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No76c1,055$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7810051%51 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes7c983.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.376234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes26c983.2$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.633748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No76c707.26$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.715865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c681.74$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4135856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes25c599.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.995044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c571$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1719347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No75c500$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1269549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes32c461.46$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.672920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes24c402.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes10c384.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No68c357.58$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.437129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes24c344.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83129%9 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7816045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7819446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Yes26c297.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.231241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5631145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c155.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes28c129.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.169721.6%21 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2548146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes28c121.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8625850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c119.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3055058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes25c113.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.926433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes17c113$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4378248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3be5…cdddbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c76.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0122669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb927…a469backed Yes26c67.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7647…68b1backed Yes26c66.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018d…3383backed Yes26c64.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c63.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8812165.3%79 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes24c55.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1715064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1420251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310552.4%55 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8721450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8710258.8%60 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155215.4%8 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5510262.7%64 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Yes28c40.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.615160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No73c38.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.364376.7%33 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No73c36.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.934463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.989564.2%61 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3949…626dbacked No75c26.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.325352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9292…7d85backed No75c25.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…cce8backed No75c25.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6821051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.253158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2511563.5%73 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27fe…95e3backed No75c23.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6d3…b1e3backed No75c22.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815a…c0bdbacked No75c21.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52090%18 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+30.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbd…6575backed No76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7c…84d6backed No75c18.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf279…e68fbacked No75c17.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…eeb1backed No75c16.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No76c14.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4311281.3%91 W · 21 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.