TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72fe…87a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.26
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.64
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.97
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+59%+$34.74
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.13
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$42.43
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.79
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$84.81
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$82.72
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)backed Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.95
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.93
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.42
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.92
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$96.02
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.32
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$53.14
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.94
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.56
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$65.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$57.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$969.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$115.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.