TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$987,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,038,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Canucks37c653,609$239,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239,190.3967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Stars63c260,676$164,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,450.2956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Stars63c100,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canucks36c67,696$24,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,370.551,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Stars64c67,287$43,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,172.6561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Stars64c27,900$17,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,04410451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Stars64c27,800$17,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00814553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars64c27,036$17,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,659.631,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Stars64c16,000$10,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,76016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Stars64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6257149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Stars63c9,999$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.773661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Stars69c9,580$6,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.729431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Stars64c9,022$5,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.083348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Stars64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Stars64c7,815$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.45945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars63c7,815$4,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.421,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Stars65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.3132151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Stars67c7,510$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.483354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars64c7,500$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Stars63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.9722747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks34c6,086$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.091,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars64c5,934$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.366550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Stars53c5,919$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.7485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars63c5,909$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.441,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Stars65c5,853$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9243456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stars63c4,956$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.062,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Stars63c4,865$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.8730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Canucks39c4,796$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.3339344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Stars64c4,657$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.493259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Canucks37c4,610$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Stars64c4,444$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.9289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Stars64c4,395$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.082365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks43c4,376$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.7889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Stars65c4,250$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.58252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd97…776cbacked Stars67c4,217$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.511668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Stars64c4,097$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.924247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Stars64c4,067$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.021770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars64c4,009$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.6621755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Stars66c4,000$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.995735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Stars64c3,986$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.945855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Stars63c3,883$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.7951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars63c3,568$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.0439752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Stars64c3,270$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.8452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Stars64c3,063$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.57149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Canucks42c3,053$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.571,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.9589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Stars64c2,700$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9724252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Canucks37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99922946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Stars63c2,525$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.2827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Stars64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Canucks5c2,330$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8510438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stars64c2,319$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83545751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.6918258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks35c2,222$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.791945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Canucks6c2,194$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1387317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars64c2,040$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Stars64c2,008$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8124952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Stars50c1,969$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.363562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars70c1,798$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.731,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Stars63c1,700$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.9691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Stars64c1,635$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.541,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Stars64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.514654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Stars64c1,550$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.4815236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Stars65c1,532$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.281250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Canucks37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Stars63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9743548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Canucks7c1,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9727334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks40c1,309$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.5795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Stars64c1,300$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4683956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks36c1,250$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6262951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Stars65c1,237$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.922548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Stars56c1,167$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.710350.5%52 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Canucks35c1,100$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Canucks42c1,065$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6143742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Stars64c1,041$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6330657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Stars63c1,033$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Canucks52c1,027$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2111127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Canucks37c1,021$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.747652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Canucks10c1,020$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Stars64c1,009$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2426551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Canucks35c1,005$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5816955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Stars64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canucks7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…ae69backed Canucks51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Canucks35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…2767backed Canucks25c985.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.45046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Canucks23c950.06$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6482043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Stars63c894.73$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.0583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Stars63c892.22$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Stars53c855$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4727739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stars54c848$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.9534538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Canucks50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Canucks33c788.34$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8721555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.