NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb76f4c09bca294beb1952c8bf359305fc5a2940da9fb11d0bbc093890303ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 990.67$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 55c | 920$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 648$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 643$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 520.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.12 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 69c | 196.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 186.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 55c | 182.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 159.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 133.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 112.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 61c | 111.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 109.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Over | 56c | 63.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 54c | 60.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 44.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 55c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 55c | 26.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 53c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. CanucksStars won
- Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.