TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Flames, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,764 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers53c65,622$34,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,755.361,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Flames47c62,790$29,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,452.1251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Flames45c46,301$20,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,881.5167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Flames47c27,825$13,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,077.8948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rangers53c20,222$10,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,505.2927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Rangers55c12,913$7,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,810.7550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Flames46c11,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.9722550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers55c10,238$5,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,629.441,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Rangers55c10,097$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.3861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.9689547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers55c5,919$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.371,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers53c5,662$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.1415145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers53c5,578$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.4561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Flames46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Rangers55c4,381$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.524252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers53c4,332$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.451,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Rangers54c4,000$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Flames47c3,192$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames6c2,601$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Rangers55c2,600$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.0544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Rangers69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flames47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.7583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Rangers54c2,300$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05813437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Flames8c2,230$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rangers53c2,222$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.3291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rangers53c2,176$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.1961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Rangers54c1,548$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.948253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Rangers70c1,539$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.985149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Flames47c1,491$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rangers52c1,388$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flames33c1,247$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers54c1,100$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Rangers54c1,049$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.47857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Flames48c1,038$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Rangers53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Rangers54c930.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2915252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers60c925.01$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.521,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Flames48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.738445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers69c895.82$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Flames46c870.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Flames32c828.36$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4111543.5%50 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Rangers53c816.26$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Rangers55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2747256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flames25c720.3$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.483,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers53c706.91$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames44c603.67$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.621,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Rangers54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.365952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7063…1633backed Rangers55c593.46$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.462050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc0…848dbacked Flames47c558.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Rangers54c557$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.227556%42 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Rangers52c555.77$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.779157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e451backed Flames47c552.62$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Flames46c543$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.387149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Flames20c537.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Rangers53c531.91$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Rangers53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…cdb2backed Rangers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc506…abb0backed Flames46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306250%31 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…cfe1backed Rangers54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.058453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Flames46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5170547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8803…cd6ebacked Flames47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.878145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Rangers72c500$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.036259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rangers53c469$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4336648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a18…a2efbacked Rangers55c466.83$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.082347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9337…6dcfbacked Flames46c445.64$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.682737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9157…2dffbacked Rangers54c426.72$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39b8…5072backed Flames47c425.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Flames48c416.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-59.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Rangers54c406.29$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2920047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Rangers69c398$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.495747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Rangers68c398$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.466355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Rangers53c378.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7845749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Rangers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3636948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flames31c374.37$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.062,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Flames25c365$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.039442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09cf…d623backed Flames48c360$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…5eccbacked Rangers54c353.46$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce7…4debbacked Rangers54c351.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc45e…78debacked Flames47c350.8$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6e…f44bbacked Flames47c347.93$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…e7c9backed Flames47c339.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers54c325.34$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.841,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71aa…bff1backed Rangers54c323.02$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd990…3efbbacked Rangers54c316.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27fd…5d22backed Rangers55c312.53$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.642657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09dc…d0a4backed Flames46c312.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flames28c311.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.862,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Rangers53c300.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.858947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Rangers53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0724847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Rangers54c299.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9949249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Flames24c298$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3218344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Flames25c295$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.179141.8%38 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f72…453abacked Rangers54c291.67$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215e…1ddcbacked Rangers54c287.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4f…81a3backed Flames46c284.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.692347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ec…0233backed Rangers54c268.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8cf…b6b9backed Rangers54c267.59$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Flames43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.