NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9fedefd9832f8d06b6bf87ebedb5e48e1c70ccee024543f5b0ee8c982fa106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 4,218$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.46 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 2,988$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.47 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 2,671$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.91 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 54c | 843.61$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.55 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 45c | 781.95$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.23 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 407.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.11 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 389.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 55c | 387.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 374.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 50c | 326.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Over | 55c | 302.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 284$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 191.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 45c | 161.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Over | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 56c | 105.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 45c | 86.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 78.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 33c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 71.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 54c | 42.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…5dd5backed Over | 56c | 36.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 54c | 31.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…c90bbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 56c | 18.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Flames vs. RangersRangers won
- Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.