Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb35971d516947b9e29b075be2e9839285a98a1f8823aefd4da70454a3f1f117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 72,554$36,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,444.53 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 30,498$15,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,353.88 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 11,810$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 8,759$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 7,826$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.12 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 6,624$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 5,724$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.55 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 5,082$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.05 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 5,032$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.02 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 4,690$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.86 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 3,860$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 3,590$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.15 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 3,386$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 3,172$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.73 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 2,974$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.62 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 2,438$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 2,303$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.81 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,060$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.26 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 2,022$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 1,978$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.56 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 1,872$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.3 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 1,831$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 1,663$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 1,646$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.84 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 1,517$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 1,294$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked North Dakota State Bison | 53c | 1,089$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 1,011$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.86 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…0844backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 997.81$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed North Dakota State Bison | 54c | 917.88$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 892.13$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.94 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 737.93$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 683.95$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 674.28$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 661.95$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 650.08$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Michigan State Spartans | 69c | 578.22$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 556.87$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.57 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 481.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 462.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Michigan State Spartans | 66c | 448.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 430.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f5f7backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 408.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 364.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 348.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed North Dakota State Bison | 54c | 324.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 314.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 310.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed North Dakota State Bison | 53c | 280.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 274.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 252.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…5249backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 229.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Michigan State Spartans | 60c | 220.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed North Dakota State Bison | 54c | 212.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…88cbbacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 212.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…d480backed North Dakota State Bison | 57c | 212.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…7c61backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 209.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…3eabbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 204.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…deacbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 201.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…45a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 199.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 198.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 197.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 196.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb381…45d1backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 194.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…546bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 194.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…2937backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed North Dakota State Bison | 24c | 192.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…c44abacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 192.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…1f27backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 191.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 190.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3768…3984backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 189.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666a…6065backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 189.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…c01cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 187.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…647fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 186.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…65acbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 184.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e0…48a4backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 184.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…f7d1backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 183.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…5d49backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 183.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…87a0backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 180.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Michigan State Spartans | 73c | 179.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04f…bca2backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 172.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…3557backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 171.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd0…f477backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 170.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…6546backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 170.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 170.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…fdafbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 170.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…aa84backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 167.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)this page
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 144.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 148.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 149.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 152.5Over won
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-15.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-23.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.