North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760950abeab14604107616f281e094e62696f741dad3db81abcb4899daacfdbd

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	49c	2,831$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.59	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	2,000$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.32	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	51c	1,386$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.97	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under	49c	1,350$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.05	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Under	51c	1,042$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.16	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Over	49c	1,033$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.72	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under	50c	1,005$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.56	180	48.9%88 W · 92 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	52c	944.21$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.22	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	49c	815.17$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.74	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Over	49c	800$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Over	50c	571.21$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.61	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	570.91$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.75	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under	48c	499.96$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.98	372	46.2%172 W · 200 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under	48c	489.99$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.4	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over	52c	452.42$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.16	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d80…8329backed Under	51c	297.38$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over	52c	285.94$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.25	270	45.2%122 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9060…d8f0backed Over	50c	254.73$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.37	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Over	50c	247$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.5	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+6.3wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b78…0eb8backed Over	50c	229.04$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb977…aa8ebacked Over	51c	225.27$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.38	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…c88bbacked Under	50c	220.62$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.31	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8c…18abbacked Under	50c	210.25$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…33ccbacked Under	51c	208.16$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	42.7%88 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…13d2backed Under	51c	199.79$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05be…2b45backed Over	52c	198.25$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.16	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x868a…b79bbacked Under	51c	198.25$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1379…e6b8backed Under	50c	198.25$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	198.1$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.27	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe51b…661fbacked Under	50c	197.3$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.65	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a7…7635backed Over	51c	192.81$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under	48c	190.67$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.52	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over	52c	190.63$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.5	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…750cbacked Over	50c	186.31$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over	49c	183$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.33	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c1…41fcbacked Under	51c	178.57$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.07	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1525…62dcbacked Under	51c	178.29$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x139e…4f76backed Under	51c	167.57$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over	50c	167.38$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.69	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Over	50c	167.38$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.69	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over	50c	167.38$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.69	163	41.7%68 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over	50c	167.38$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.69	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ce…d3ecbacked Over	51c	166.84$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b06…c83cbacked Under	51c	166.13$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91b…af31backed Under	51c	164.21$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7be…ef59backed Under	51c	161.23$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…b09cbacked Over	50c	155.61$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…1128backed Over	50c	155.02$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Over	50c	152.93$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.47	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under	49c	151.72$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.34	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…79aabacked Over	50c	148.25$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	50c	143.14$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.9	1,234	44.8%553 W · 681 L	-32.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff56…8609backed Over	51c	142.37$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.76	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	50c	136.1$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.97	251	45.8%115 W · 136 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under	51c	102.05$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	528	43.6%230 W · 298 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x195d…9124backed Under	51c	99.13$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d2…fbe4backed Under	50c	99.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf678…b132backed Over	50c	94.33$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1722…165abacked Over	50c	84.26$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…302abacked Under	51c	81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under	50c	79.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5c9…274cbacked Over	50c	73.5$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Under	50c	68.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57de…2fe4backed Over	51c	55.08$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4503…6ff4backed Under	50c	51.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d21…3f21backed Under	50c	47.56$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe485…aab6backed Over	51c	46.13$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…de22backed Under	50c	44.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa919…bb16backed Over	51c	43.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fed…ec20backed Under	50c	41.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb39e…6b5dbacked Over	51c	41.58$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under	49c	40.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…6f99backed Over	51c	40.23$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	65cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa83b…c119backed Under	50c	39.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2369…3affbacked Under	50c	39.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Over	49c	39.21$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Over	49c	39.21$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under	51c	38.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Over	52c	38.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd054…1fccbacked Over	51c	37.97$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	46c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	462	46.5%215 W · 247 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	50c	26.68$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	716	55.3%396 W · 320 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under	50c	26.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over	53c	24.95$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	23.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	1,152	48.9%563 W · 589 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5this page
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 144.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 148.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 149.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 152.5Over won
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 159.5Under won
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-15.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-23.5)Michigan State Spartans won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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