TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bbc…2937

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$158.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.77
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$131.44
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.9
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$92.68
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$43.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.23
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$39.85
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.39
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+150.2%+$60.06
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.19
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.43
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$97.23
All 6 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morelos: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.