TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,418 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c211,079$105,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,436.7287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c125,000$62,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,50024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c119,257$59,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,387.5360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c55,587$27,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,882.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c52,688$26,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,607.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c20,072$10,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,836.71,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under51c20,000$10,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,803.371,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c19,255$9,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,434.934854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c15,320$7,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,813.1152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Over52c13,147$6,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,836.273560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over52c12,615$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5604535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under51c12,471$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.5938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under48c10,397$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.4411443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb85a…3263backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7e…034bbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c10,000$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950.1277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under48c9,386$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,880.638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c9,381$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,635.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under51c9,381$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.7624053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c8,985$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.761,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c6,057$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c5,878$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.4349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over49c5,700$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.9926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c5,681$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.3170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c5,402$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c4,994$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over50c4,593$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.8927455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c4,556$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.872,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under50c4,311$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.417042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69eb…fa92backed Over50c4,286$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c4,221$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.7137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c4,089$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.4325049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0226637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6326648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…5e99backed Over49c4,058$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252a…ae9fbacked Over76c3,960$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c3,818$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c3,734$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.182,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over51c3,512$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.841947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3355…14e0backed Under49c3,388$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb14…cb3fbacked Over49c3,343$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c3,159$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.812,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over50c2,700$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,500$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c2,341$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.871,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c2,310$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c2,194$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.11,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over51c2,168$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.8148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under48c2,002$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.0135749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under51c1,868$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.2429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c1,796$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.8227937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,767$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over48c1,746$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.969352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,700$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.312,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over49c1,680$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c1,464$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over49c1,461$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.2117349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,275$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.5164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,253$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58810251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over51c1,194$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.7130453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over51c1,177$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over49c1,163$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.779952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over49c1,042$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.8821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,005$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over50c992.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over51c988.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under51c980.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over51c819$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.823655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3315543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Under51c779.34$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6750239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over48c777$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9643543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c768.6$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.43,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under55c761$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c759.22$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36819445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over49c744.9$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36510556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c737.24$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over50c655.47$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0122552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over51c648.92$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7612650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c601.1$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c561.96$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c530.04$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.351,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over50c477.3$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.814060%24 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.