NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cdd4a17f12bfa209f971af06e0a3e8ab6573d01ef12626d138f55260b0ca981

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Clippers, Bulls
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls	50c	3,426$1,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,720.35	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Clippers	61c	3,291$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers	50c	1,811$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.84	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers	48c	1,718$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.66	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls	44c	1,497$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.12	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls	52c	711.41$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.95	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Clippers	58c	690.24$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.34	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls	42c	660.34$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Clippers	58c	600$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls	43c	600$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers	55c	465.23$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.88	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Clippers	57c	400$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Clippers	46c	348.11$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.43	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Bulls	59c	342.12$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	62cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bulls	49c	332.48$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.54	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Bulls	45c	311.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.33	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed Bulls	15c	300$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	11cpaid	+149.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls	42c	291.94$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.33	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers	59c	270.37$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.81	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers	49c	209.07$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.25	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Clippers	50c	205.07$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Clippers	54c	190.04$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.62	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Clippers	49c	189.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.8	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Clippers	57c	180$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bulls	44c	157.71$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.62	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers	47c	147.84$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.74	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Clippers	57c	140.35$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Bulls	15c	126.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.43	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Clippers	52c	105.02$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	574	44.1%253 W · 321 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Clippers	58c	100.48$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.28	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Bulls	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Bulls	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	6cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Bulls	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Clippers	56c	96.22$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers	56c	87.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Clippers	57c	87.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6676…cddcbacked Clippers	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Bulls	26c	80$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.2	236	49.2%116 W · 120 L	+28.6wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Clippers	45c	80$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Clippers	55c	74.36$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers	53c	71.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Bulls	46c	69.55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.27	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bulls	42c	68.97$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Clippers	58c	68.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Clippers	58c	65.52$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Clippers	56c	61.55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.23	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ced…97e5backed Clippers	58c	60.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Bulls	44c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Bulls	26c	55$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.95	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Clippers	55c	54.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	326	54.3%177 W · 149 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Clippers	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	206	55.3%114 W · 92 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers	54c	49.88$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Bulls	45c	49.64$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Clippers	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Clippers	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Bulls	48c	41.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Bulls	55c	40.27$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Bulls	26c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Clippers	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Clippers	52c	39.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers	46c	37.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Bulls	53c	37.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.51	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Bulls	48c	37.07$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Bulls	46c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.48	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f52…ce1bbacked Clippers	42c	35.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Bulls	45c	35.2$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.36	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Bulls	46c	32.6$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	1,084	42.4%460 W · 624 L	-48.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Clippers	40c	31.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Clippers	65c	30.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1967backed Clippers	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers	56c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5c…8645backed Clippers	55c	29.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.0wins	-0.27per pick	48cpaid	-57%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Bulls	51c	29.76$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bulls	55c	29.64$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.43	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Bulls	43c	27.8$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Clippers	55c	27.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ee…5b9fbacked Clippers	57c	26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Clippers	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Clippers	50c	20.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers	57c	17.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Clippers	60c	16.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Bulls won
Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Brook Lopez: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Bulls vs. ClippersClippers won
Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
Kris Dunn: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
Leonard Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Bulls won
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event