NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5603e629540aa429dc57fdfd8bea3804537d9984c41e540464492babbb347e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Clippers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,265 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls | 47c | 22,610$10,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,983.27 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Clippers | 53c | 17,908$9,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,491 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 52c | 2,873$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Clippers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.12 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,854$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,745$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 51c | 1,539$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.74 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 54c | 1,313$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 35c | 1,036$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 46c | 949.23$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Clippers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 47c | 609.89$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Bulls | 48c | 603.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Clippers | 53c | 580.4$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 53c | 460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Clippers | 48c | 459.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.46 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 54c | 450.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Clippers | 54c | 297.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Clippers | 54c | 289.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 53c | 265.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Bulls | 55c | 255.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Bulls | 48c | 240.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 46c | 233.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Clippers | 48c | 232.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Clippers | 51c | 201.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…0b37backed Bulls | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Clippers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers | 47c | 171.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers | 50c | 162.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clippers | 38c | 161.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 48c | 154.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Clippers | 52c | 143.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Bulls | 53c | 139.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Bulls | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Bulls | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Clippers | 53c | 88.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Bulls | 49c | 79.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Clippers | 53c | 63.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Clippers | 44c | 61.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…0529backed Bulls | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…2370backed Bulls | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Clippers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Bulls | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 52c | 51.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 46c | 46.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bulls | 49c | 37.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…98c1backed Clippers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls | 51c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Clippers | 49c | 30.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Clippers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Clippers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed Clippers | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bulls | 59c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Clippers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers | 51c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Bulls | 52c | 22.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Clippers | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Clippers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…6fc6backed Clippers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bulls | 57c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Clippers | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Leonard Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.