NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8221de680355d64e7e864dc55aad1ee546df2b691926ee07797018b7d688d673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Clippers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,221 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Clippers | 53c | 941.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls | 47c | 733$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Bulls | 48c | 629.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Clippers | 52c | 378.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Clippers | 52c | 250.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bulls | 33c | 148.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 46c | 107.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Clippers | 67c | 85.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Clippers | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bulls | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Leonard Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.