TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Bulls, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,005,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,005,465 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls15c175,393$25,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,855.0843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Bulls12c36,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32011737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Bulls0c32,089$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5916919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Bulls18c28,288$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls13c26,443$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.471,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls14c23,053$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.3824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bulls15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Bulls15c19,501$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.769330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Bulls16c18,404$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.2350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Bulls7c18,399$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.028429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bulls13c17,200$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25324045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Bulls14c16,900$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36617162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Bulls25c16,166$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002532%8 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bulls13c15,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9809018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bulls17c12,465$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.0719645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Bulls14c12,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls10c11,495$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Bulls7c11,431$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.067412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69de…5106backed Bulls14c11,395$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Bulls12c10,133$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.6710225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls14c10,001$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bulls14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bulls14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Bulls14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Bulls10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9918931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls19c9,248$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.111,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Bulls3c9,142$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.446248.4%30 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bulls13c9,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Bulls17c8,419$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.961030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Bulls7c8,120$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.12123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls13c8,090$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.6432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls14c8,040$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls14c8,016$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls1c8,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Bulls16c7,588$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.7860444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Bulls14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Bulls14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Bulls14c7,075$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.5114450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Bulls12c6,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls14c6,666$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0a…ca20backed Bulls11c6,545$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.11931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Bulls14c6,447$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.5113534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Bulls13c6,009$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.742123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Bulls16c5,582$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.3630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Bulls4c5,497$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007018.6%13 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Bulls19c5,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bulls16c5,176$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.8861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Bulls14c5,175$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.4858951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Bulls14c5,100$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.023917.9%7 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls12c5,067$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.453,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Bulls14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls9c4,973$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.921,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Bulls14c4,951$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69317454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Bulls14c4,950$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.7447354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bulls13c4,901$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.1727241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Bulls14c4,814$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.6942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Bulls15c4,661$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.9177549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Bulls14c4,643$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Bulls13c4,595$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.335651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Bulls14c4,511$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5427247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bulls7c4,418$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6636023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…e786backed Bulls17c4,356$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bulls16c4,345$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7238540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Bulls16c4,317$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68017436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Bulls14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.995032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c3,521$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.218820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls14c3,211$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls15c3,185$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls14c3,070$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.837448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcd…4ab3backed Bulls15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Bulls14c2,871$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bulls18c2,794$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4946940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Bulls13c2,776$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8424846.8%116 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Bulls13c2,716$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.149250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed Bulls13c2,710$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2720855.8%116 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd59f…f554backed Bulls14c2,707$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Bulls9c2,607$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Bulls6c2,600$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15511420.2%23 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Bulls13c2,385$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bulls14c2,260$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Bulls14c2,175$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.510448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49e5…03fdbacked Bulls1c2,166$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-89.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…c14dbacked Bulls11c2,120$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.087320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Bulls14c2,049$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1923348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Bulls1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510914.7%16 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Bulls3c1,951$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.544723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a55…826fbacked Bulls16c1,860$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Bulls18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls14c1,666$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2362539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Bulls9c1,660$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.423747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Bulls11c1,633$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Bulls14c1,536$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9910235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls16c1,520$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked Bulls14c1,514$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Bulls13c1,510$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.294839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Bulls20c1,506$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4933632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls12c1,484$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.22,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Bulls14c1,466$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3817651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Bulls14c1,436$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.