TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,403 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over47c60,044$28,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,123.6587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c49,138$26,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,117.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c46,884$25,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,762.721,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over46c29,851$13,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,731.4360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over46c24,522$11,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,379.9628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9829055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under53c14,821$7,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967.1674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c13,421$7,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,393.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c11,589$5,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,463.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c10,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,750.1977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under54c8,402$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over49c7,918$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8804535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.41,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over47c7,160$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3303240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c7,060$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c6,608$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under53c5,676$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.1834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over49c5,500$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over48c5,366$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.878444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Over61c4,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c4,039$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.711,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9579549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over46c3,913$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb14…cb3fbacked Over46c3,724$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under54c3,696$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.038154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c3,246$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.5258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c3,196$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under53c3,035$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.0854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over47c2,548$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Under42c2,409$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.2313435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c2,320$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under53c2,250$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.9926149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under53c2,100$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97813148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over47c2,050$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.4844252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over49c1,928$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over45c1,576$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.2317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over46c1,508$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.5770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over47c1,462$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c1,288$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under53c1,249$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.116338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,026$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9919147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9929149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c950.68$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.122,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over49c921$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4210448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under55c907.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.415050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over47c883.29$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c861.37$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0723850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c855.8$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c834$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under53c826.55$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c821.3$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69eb…fa92backed Over46c787.87$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked Under51c777.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over48c775.6$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2923446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under53c672.1$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8921250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over48c636.97$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.687460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x650c…0a9fbacked Under48c623.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c598.88$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over47c543.08$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under51c512.78$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0921443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c511.9$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c492.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.085,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over62c481.39$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.766543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over47c432.03$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over47c419.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.814053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c413$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.241,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c406.25$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under53c377.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3518147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over48c373.34$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.84060%24 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c357.9$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.831,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over46c355$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16815446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under54c320.17$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3317153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over47c301.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.630453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c299.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf4…62c7backed Over48c295$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.351952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c279.79$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.873,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under53c277.59$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.477843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c271.58$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c263$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.241,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under53c262.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.631,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over46c241.49$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.91,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under59c240$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.241,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c218$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.722,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under43c209.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0177549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.