TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Clippers, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,417 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers49c70,315$34,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,200.5860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Bulls52c45,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,60015545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bulls52c33,700$17,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,304.0459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Clippers51c31,051$15,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,801.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers48c20,829$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.121,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Bulls52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.7726648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Bulls49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,65038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Bulls51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.8617250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls51c9,999$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.6958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls49c9,825$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls51c9,438$4,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls50c5,665$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4730…a4c2backed Clippers49c5,321$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers49c4,873$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.7282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Clippers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0326637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls49c4,081$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.311,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Bulls51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.989018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers50c3,479$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.5927455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bulls48c3,152$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.1612740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Bulls65c3,097$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Clippers49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers36c2,953$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0673,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Bulls51c2,940$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.614245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4883…c1a6backed Bulls51c2,366$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers50c2,168$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Clippers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Bulls51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers50c1,639$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.1341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb614…4be4backed Bulls51c1,588$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832c…23c3backed Clippers52c1,454$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ef…3cd6backed Bulls51c1,367$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.834100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls48c1,298$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.895,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Clippers50c1,278$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.2248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clippers48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Clippers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls48c1,167$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Bulls56c1,111$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6428929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bulls52c1,032$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Clippers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Bulls51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Clippers41c913.89$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Bulls59c850.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0810334%35 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers50c704.84$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Clippers43c700.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Clippers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls50c602.59$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.348845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers42c599.6$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.251,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers50c570.47$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls56c542.66$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.243,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Clippers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24550239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Clippers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Clippers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459649%47 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Bulls57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2157549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Clippers51c490.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls50c487.73$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers49c468.09$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Clippers50c410.89$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9812650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Clippers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers15c371.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Bulls54c368.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Clippers49c340$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.614053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Bulls55c332.64$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.26355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Bulls51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls58c290.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers50c279.65$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers49c269.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2422552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Clippers48c247.82$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers50c241.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Bulls51c240.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.76538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Clippers51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Clippers55c212.89$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1523446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Clippers40c209.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.521,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Clippers50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clippers49c200.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Bulls50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bulls51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Bulls50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Bulls52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.161957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Clippers50c198.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Bulls51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0837852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Bulls51c192$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0811451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Bulls55c182.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0219145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers49c180.73$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Clippers49c166$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.344650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Clippers44c158.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.697154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Clippers49c158.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Clippers49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.