TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,634 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c121,604$63,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,69487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c93,601$44,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,146.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c42,596$21,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,958.1460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c21,148$10,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,046.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c13,945$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,251.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c12,398$6,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,446.951,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0816640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c8,750$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over49c5,495$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7138429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c4,201$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.61,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.678154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c4,013$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.8738750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c3,657$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.071,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c3,642$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.722,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c2,677$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39224045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c2,619$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.881,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c2,086$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.2327455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c1,979$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.771,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c1,923$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c1,876$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under48c1,509$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.543831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c1,508$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,440$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,434$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,427$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.283,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c1,367$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.0148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c1,273$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.2341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,255$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over53c1,219$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3710448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under47c1,035$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under47c991.13$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.316953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Under48c956.25$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.255052%26 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under48c899.98$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.994367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over34c875.23$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c840.89$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.261,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under48c777$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3343052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c769.74$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c629$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under48c554.17$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1732450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c534.27$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.583,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under48c516.67$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.673240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c481.2$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.721,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over53c429.06$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8730453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c409.03$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c405.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Over54c377.74$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.984942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c372.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…84f5backed Under48c295$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Under63c269.84$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.849663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under48c262.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over53c249$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9314053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Under52c242.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3616251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under50c240.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.85056%28 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over63c238.06$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.972548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over53c238.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0812650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over53c234.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0819054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over53c208.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11077549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c208.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c202.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over54c201.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.068851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over54c200.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.520762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c191.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.641,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over53c189.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9514466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c188.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.122,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over49c180.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0d…cdf9backed Over55c180.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c167.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.72,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c165.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1626756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over53c160.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4131354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over52c150.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over53c150.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.24060%24 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over54c149.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over53c147.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0722048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c142.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c136.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.537665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c133.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.295,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over53c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over47c127.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.931,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over52c125.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0422552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over53c117.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6325153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Under48c113.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.452454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under48c105.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.