NBA · resolved market
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68725fe6bbf6748351fcdb3e7371124c4c8e3ec67590a82803d9a408c53a5785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,191 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 74c | 1,439$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.07 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fb…9a62backed Yes | 24c | 1,402$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes | 41c | 1,189$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.25 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,131$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.09 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 73c | 714.99$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5a…2370backed Yes | 43c | 596.93$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 58c | 555$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 45c | 515.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 57c | 499.51$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 379.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 317.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…d3e3backed Yes | 26c | 294.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Yes | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Yes | 50c | 202.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Yes | 27c | 186.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 75c | 161.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 119.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…668ebacked Yes | 49c | 92.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 51c | 84.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 49c | 81.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 79c | 65.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 76c | 61.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 63c | 61.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342b…d208backed Yes | 48c | 58.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…1fe0backed No | 47c | 50.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4dbfbacked Yes | 47c | 39.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 75c | 28.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed No | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Bulls vs. ClippersClippers won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Leonard Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.