Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x950e552d3a7668ac84ddb80e3e4b6a3428fbd946e2f2fa3658c36a25e462f560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Arkansas Razorbacks, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,384 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 101,513$48,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,245.6 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 34c | 43,163$14,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,523.78 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 39,583$20,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,808.61 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 38,092$20,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,092.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 10,489$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 9,972$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 7,963$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 7,317$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.95 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 7,103$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 6,898$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.22 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 5,814$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 5,706$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 63c | 5,655$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.82 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 5,560$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.62 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 5,459$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.29 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 5,284$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.75 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 4,473$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 38c | 3,702$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.01 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 3,457$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.78 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.82 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 2,980$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.19 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 61c | 2,356$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 2,213$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 2,180$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.65 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 2,138$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.33 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.96 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 1c | 1,885$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 23c | 1,690$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 1,667$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 1,596$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.93 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 1,487$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 1,248$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.98 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 1,090$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.99 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 999.43$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 936.17$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 917.79$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.31 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 694.15$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 690.9$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 45c | 660.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 643$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 628.82$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.98 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 610.15$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.24 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 587.7$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 568$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 531.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 525.49$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 31c | 520.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 34c | 509.77$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 508.72$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.53 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 467.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 24c | 451.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 400.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…fe91backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 398.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 396.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 59c | 396.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 396.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 383.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 371.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 349.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…bab8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 25c | 347.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 345.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 340.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 332.12$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 308.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 301.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 60c | 281.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 277.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 262.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 253.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 249.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 248.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 229.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…51cebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 229.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 227.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 29c | 224$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 214.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e56…114dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 211.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…6c47backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 208.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…4e79backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 207.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 204.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…4a10backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 202.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…2b45backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…20c8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 197.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…b960backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 50c | 195.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)this page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 160.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 175.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 176.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 178.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-14.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-16.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-17.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-18.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-19.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-20.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-21.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.