Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc5ab3cb6c81da6b192ca418c6f354ee62984dd7e32f5798a6120c462aa6461d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,098 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 52c | 45,724$23,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,612.62 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 46c | 30,563$14,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,363.43 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Over | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Under | 54c | 9,999$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.63 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 9,338$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 49c | 6,280$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.8 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 51c | 2,967$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.67 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,914$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Under | 49c | 2,903$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 51c | 2,610$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.81 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.65 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 1,617$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.22 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 1,399$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.45 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Over | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Over | 50c | 948.42$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 897.97$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.93 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 53c | 616.92$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.59 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed Under | 50c | 578.34$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 47c | 526.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.84 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 50c | 470.94$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 46c | 438.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 356.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 53c | 330.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 53c | 308.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 268.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 262.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 49c | 252.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 51c | 244.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…da59backed Over | 48c | 229.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…ff07backed Under | 51c | 212.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…f8afbacked Over | 50c | 203.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…ba25backed Under | 50c | 203.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…3134backed Under | 50c | 199.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…f17ebacked Over | 50c | 193.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…a912backed Over | 51c | 192.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…439ebacked Under | 51c | 180.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…6b74backed Over | 50c | 178.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…c05abacked Under | 51c | 172.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4f34backed Under | 51c | 172.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…3d32backed Over | 50c | 166.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…ccfbbacked Under | 51c | 165.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…59c8backed Over | 51c | 163.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7a08backed Over | 50c | 158.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…d3b0backed Under | 51c | 154.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…6d9abacked Over | 51c | 153.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 149$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…06aabacked Over | 50c | 134.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…adf6backed Under | 50c | 130.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 48c | 123.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…7939backed Over | 49c | 113.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…36c9backed Over | 50c | 111.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 54c | 98.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 96.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…5b7abacked Over | 51c | 94.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 54c | 94.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…691dbacked Under | 50c | 93.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Over | 47c | 90.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…7655backed Under | 51c | 87.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 75.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16dc…72edbacked Under | 50c | 70.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…6211backed Over | 50c | 64.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f60…68d8backed Under | 51c | 62.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 51c | 53.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…b815backed Over | 50c | 41.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…b6b2backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…3e70backed Over | 50c | 39.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…9875backed Under | 51c | 39.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Over | 47c | 39.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…d1e9backed Under | 51c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Under | 52c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…86bdbacked Over | 50c | 36.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…6e3fbacked Over | 47c | 35.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 47c | 34.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 55c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5this page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 160.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 173.5Over won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 175.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 176.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 178.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-14.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-16.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-17.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-18.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-19.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-20.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-21.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.