Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x653933c23d2d4684ce2b46164791121d1d5f8b9ba70c4dd5366b3148a580636e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $215,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,885 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	59c	25,741$15,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,200	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd71e…79a1backed Yes	59c	25,207$14,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,994.89	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No	41c	18,988$7,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,213.79	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	41c	16,866$6,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,929.02	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed No	42c	15,624$6,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,990.45	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed No	43c	10,099$4,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,758	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes	60c	9,452$5,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,683.68	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No	62c	9,366$5,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,583.68	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+5.3wins	+0.18per pick	23cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	41c	9,138$3,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,351.64	152	33.6%51 W · 101 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	58c	8,687$5,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,055.82	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	51c	6,802$3,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,479.71	207	50.2%104 W · 103 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No	39c	5,080$2,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,073.8	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,736$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.73	203	7.4%15 W · 188 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes	23c	3,306$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.38	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes	57c	2,654$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.49	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.95	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Yes	60c	1,829$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.56	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	66cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b67…1169backed Yes	59c	1,782$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	41c	1,703$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.04	228	34.2%78 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x552c…e786backed Yes	60c	1,528$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Yes	57c	1,400$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…d813backed No	41c	1,363$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes	59c	1,356$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No	45c	1,212$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.82	121	36.4%44 W · 77 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes	44c	1,156$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.18	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No	43c	1,125$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.71	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	38cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe4d…912bbacked No	47c	1,075$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.68	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…16d9backed No	41c	1,062$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes	58c	1,023$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.14	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…dc6fbacked Yes	34c	990.32$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	46c	979.99$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.28	154	61%94 W · 60 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd452…03e0backed Yes	61c	963.9$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	65cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked No	62c	907$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.01	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes	52c	897.02$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.27	123	24.4%30 W · 93 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes	57c	882.5$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.75	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2be6…bde1backed Yes	57c	875.44$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4a…66b7backed Yes	47c	850.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	63cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes	60c	835.01$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.77	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes	56c	812.44$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.16	97	38.1%37 W · 60 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbc…2937backed Yes	57c	777.19$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes	61c	737.79$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes	60c	700$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	36c	698.58$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.13	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…6f25backed Yes	60c	666.87$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…03a9backed Yes	59c	651.16$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes	42c	600.36$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	100	29%29 W · 71 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	22c	600$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No	42c	591.7$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.32	185	62.2%115 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes	34c	588.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes	59c	573.29$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfa…cad6backed Yes	58c	560.91$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes	62c	555.57$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	194	60.3%117 W · 77 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes	58c	536.33$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.58	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7c…3d2fbacked Yes	58c	516.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes	59c	503.82$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.88	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Yes	60c	503.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb149…0a3dbacked Yes	57c	500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb948…d0a1backed Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	59c	499.7$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.57	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	80c	476.92$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	43c	463.42$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.75	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	72c	462.98$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.25	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…2f42backed Yes	60c	452.23$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	56c	432$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.31	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	56c	400$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Yes	59c	363.22$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.67	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Yes	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed No	43c	348.84$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.84	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed Yes	57c	348.49$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	56c	336.22$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.68	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes	57c	332.84$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.72	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc4e…1721backed Yes	24c	315.7$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed No	40c	310.06$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.07	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82c…dd71backed No	55c	300.71$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.57	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…b2f7backed No	44c	300.7$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	59c	294$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.56	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	22c	294$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	36c	290$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.4	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c7f…70d3backed No	41c	283.79$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.81	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	15c	282.13$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.92	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	56c	278.46$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.44	138	32.6%45 W · 93 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…c3f5backed Yes	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes	33c	272.73$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571b…cc6bbacked Yes	51c	272.23$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.91	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1849…8916backed Yes	56c	266.98$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes	53c	266.49$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-18.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	39c	258.62$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.76	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Yes	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67fe…fea5backed Yes	57c	248.32$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.54	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes	26c	246.73$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…5548backed Yes	27c	243.2$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x248a…0d55backed No	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b43…900ebacked No	43c	222.07$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc83…c024backed No	48c	217.82$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.82	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+131.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed No	44c	208.78$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.92	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b2…c115backed Yes	58c	208.52$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.21	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.5wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes	60c	207.42$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.03	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?this page
Will Cardiff win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Grimsby Town win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?Yes won
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Will Wrexham win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event