Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0416af5747c2ef44e025181a0c1f1c8a92a1eff6623216572267fcdffda4328f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,629 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 42c | 4,045$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,003$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 44c | 3,900$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…569fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,445$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 42c | 1,727$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.95 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 35c | 1,571$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.99 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 44c | 1,487$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.75 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 47c | 1,383$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,169$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 43c | 1,054$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 42c | 948.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 804$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 42c | 795.1$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed No | 58c | 738.44$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.86 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 41c | 728.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.56 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…1c00backed Yes | 42c | 711.65$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 47c | 664.9$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 42c | 649.36$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 43c | 617.86$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 47c | 596.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 5c | 569.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 53c | 562.03$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 545.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 18c | 541$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 526$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 44c | 525$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.17 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Yes | 41c | 487.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…3501backed Yes | 44c | 455.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…8ec4backed Yes | 44c | 453.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Yes | 42c | 441.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked Yes | 47c | 429.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 54c | 386.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 41c | 368$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 56c | 343$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…9decbacked Yes | 44c | 339.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 44c | 315.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 46c | 312.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…d0f0backed Yes | 42c | 308.81$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 75c | 304$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 43c | 302.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 295.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 43c | 292.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…fbcdbacked Yes | 44c | 292.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Yes | 42c | 279.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…f70dbacked Yes | 43c | 277.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 263.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Yes | 41c | 243.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed No | 42c | 241.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…327bbacked Yes | 41c | 240.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 58c | 236.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…900ebacked No | 57c | 222.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes | 46c | 221.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Yes | 43c | 221.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…5f2abacked Yes | 46c | 215.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 43c | 200.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec5…ae41backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Yes | 42c | 195.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 57c | 188.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 33c | 184.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…4fa5backed Yes | 67c | 172$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…c60dbacked Yes | 43c | 159.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Yes | 51c | 157.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 76c | 146.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 137.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 40c | 135.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed Yes | 76c | 131.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 56c | 129.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Yes | 46c | 128.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…f0b0backed Yes | 44c | 124.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 41c | 122$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Yes | 41c | 121.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…fa61backed Yes | 41c | 120.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 42c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…08d2backed Yes | 42c | 119.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…862abacked Yes | 42c | 118.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 42c | 118.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Yes | 43c | 116.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…8f69backed Yes | 43c | 115.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 25c | 113.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 48c | 106.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 99.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 43c | 92.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 42c | 91.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…a3f7backed Yes | 41c | 86.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 84.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…3857backed No | 60c | 82.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 48c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 42c | 75.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…7b0abacked Yes | 41c | 73.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…ea3fbacked Yes | 43c | 72.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes | 43c | 69.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 44c | 67.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 54c | 65.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 64.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 43c | 62.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Cardiff win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Fulham win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Grimsby Town win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
- Will Wrexham win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.