TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Under41c44,444$18,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,2225846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over64c39,157$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,156.612166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c22,283$8,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,043.222,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over62c15,416$9,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.933839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over64c11,802$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.773360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under38c11,314$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.8284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c11,160$4,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.4743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over59c10,156$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.8233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over63c7,984$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c4,881$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.253,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under37c3,223$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.1338247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over63c2,571$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Over62c2,126$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over63c2,117$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…def4backed Over61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e7…2f52backed Under39c1,990$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c1,739$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.3991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under35c1,286$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under19c1,276$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2377364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over59c1,048$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.648124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over61c918$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.452532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Over58c716.21$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under38c699.96$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.982951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Over61c609.44$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c577.76$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.765545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under37c555$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.423737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over62c487.15$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.152157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under36c486$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.969858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.197054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Under38c408.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over63c378$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Under42c377.82$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over63c357.14$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1411449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over63c333.33$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.331090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Over62c320$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over59c318$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.381457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over63c252.38$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.381030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under37c249.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.55738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x310b…98a7backed Over62c246.02$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Over62c230.65$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over62c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.612846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over67c201.07$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1470239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.533444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7411153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under38c170.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.961030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.97067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bbc…2937backed Over63c162.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.737755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over62c123.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Under42c114.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed Under42c110.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under39c109.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2916856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over62c104.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+67.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c102.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.152,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad42…2734backed Over62c98.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.365554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c90.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over62c89.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.863545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Over63c87.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.841080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over57c87.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6914963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under37c87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1918049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over62c87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.063956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over58c86.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.219638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over60c81.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f92…f4debacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over65c75.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.432369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4326647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over66c69.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over66c65.42$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.046950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over63c65.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Over62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.