Europa Conference League · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c6de3346587385226dad4096b731ab345cdf74cf713c8b870c1d58114c81a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 41c | 296,440$121,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,118.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 59c | 189,365$111,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,725.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 64,308$31,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,097.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 27,937$16,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,058.41 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 41c | 24,550$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,549.98 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 59c | 8,776$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.09 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 61c | 4,687$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.38 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 59c | 3,508$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.96 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 60c | 3,200$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…a00fbacked Over | 40c | 1,955$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 16c | 1,112$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 41c | 1,090$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 41c | 990.29$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.27 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 40c | 987.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 62c | 809.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 38c | 780.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 770.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 60c | 608.55$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.13 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 548.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 39c | 539.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…a700backed Over | 40c | 500.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 37c | 454.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 66c | 453.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 39c | 402.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 61c | 346.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 324.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 39c | 318.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 37c | 312.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 38c | 240.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…888cbacked Under | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 72c | 173.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Under | 64c | 145.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 35c | 142.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Over | 41c | 129.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 127.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed Under | 64c | 121.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Under | 18c | 111.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Over | 37c | 108.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 38c | 94.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 35c | 85.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 61c | 67.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 40c | 61.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 64c | 60.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…2856backed Over | 65c | 53.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.