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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over41c296,440$121,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,118.76850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under59c189,365$111,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,725.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c64,308$31,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,097.163,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c27,937$16,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,058.413,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over41c24,550$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,549.982166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0005259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under59c8,776$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.095846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under59c7,000$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,13010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c4,687$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.3884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under59c3,508$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.9638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under60c3,200$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7705545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7707143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Over40c1,955$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under16c1,112$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1285142%357 W · 494 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over41c1,090$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.242532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6104351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over41c990.29$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.274841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over40c987.05$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under62c809.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4729148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over38c780.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.412240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c770.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.682,43337.4%909 W · 1,524 L-9.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under60c608.55$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.136950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c548.92$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7374939.4%295 W · 454 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over39c539.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.24250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Over40c500.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over37c454.87$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under66c453.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over39c402.5$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.99644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under61c346.24$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over41c324.39$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.393030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over39c318.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.182321.7%5 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c312.83$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.085540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over40c312.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.511449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1778250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17712948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1615224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.513650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.58444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over38c240.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.113737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c2…888cbacked Under11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under60c199.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.999142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over72c173.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.495554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.066737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Under64c145.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over35c142.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6814963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Under15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over41c129.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.062450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c127.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.457055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757028.6%20 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed Under64c121.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.88146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.87540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.814756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.88551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.88048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Under18c111.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Over37c108.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over38c94.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.176055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over35c85.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.832157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1516856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under61c67.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.32466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over40c67.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55042%21 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over40c62.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.633842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over40c61.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Under64c60.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over65c53.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over40c50.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.327227.8%20 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.