Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca488e90716d549283660f2aa30f362e57bfaa360ea8338cdf49bb85ffbefe74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Siena Saints, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,833,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,833,183 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Siena Saints | 0c | 224,992$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 149,959$116,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,001.96 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 143,329$111,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,532.29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked Siena Saints | 1c | 127,758$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Siena Saints | 1c | 100,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Siena Saints | 1c | 99,214$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.09 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Siena Saints | 0c | 88,069$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Siena Saints | 7c | 79,274$5,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,885.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…05e5backed Siena Saints | 2c | 64,819$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 63,717$49,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,017.74 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Siena Saints | 16c | 62,578$10,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,204.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Siena Saints | 0c | 62,524$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Siena Saints | 1c | 55,655$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Siena Saints | 22c | 49,408$11,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,013.74 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Siena Saints | 1c | 35,483$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.76 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Siena Saints | 1c | 33,143$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Siena Saints | 22c | 32,033$7,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 31,916$24,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,023.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…1a09backed Siena Saints | 0c | 29,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 27,635$21,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,107.39 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 26,230$20,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,769.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 17c | 25,325$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Siena Saints | 16c | 22,563$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.45 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 21,337$16,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Siena Saints | 6c | 20,988$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Siena Saints | 1c | 20,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Siena Saints | 20c | 19,249$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.64 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Siena Saints | 0c | 18,499$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Siena Saints | 5c | 17,759$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 17,744$13,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.57 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 16,931$13,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.87 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Siena Saints | 17c | 16,514$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Siena Saints | 16c | 16,389$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.41 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…2757backed Siena Saints | 12c | 16,211$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Siena Saints | 2c | 15,295$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.56 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 15,095$11,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.32 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Siena Saints | 5c | 14,981$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.56 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Siena Saints | 12c | 14,944$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.96 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 14,200$11,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Siena Saints | 22c | 14,115$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Siena Saints | 8c | 13,228$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.68 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Siena Saints | 9c | 12,234$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Siena Saints | 2c | 12,071$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 11,544$9,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…8738backed Siena Saints | 1c | 11,069$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…3757backed Siena Saints | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Siena Saints | 22c | 9,678$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.61 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Siena Saints | 1c | 9,205$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Siena Saints | 1c | 8,777$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Siena Saints | 6c | 8,529$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Siena Saints | 21c | 8,224$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.02 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Siena Saints | 9c | 8,224$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.04 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 8,000$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Siena Saints | 7c | 7,941$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.39 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…db30backed Siena Saints | 1c | 7,921$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 7,651$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…611dbacked Siena Saints | 2c | 7,560$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Siena Saints | 8c | 7,555$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.75 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Siena Saints | 1c | 7,507$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 6,677$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Siena Saints | 15c | 6,667$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.5 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Siena Saints | 19c | 6,513$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.13 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Siena Saints | 15c | 6,500$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 6,260$4,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.63 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Siena Saints | 22c | 5,874$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 5,830$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 5,822$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 5,700$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.91 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Siena Saints | 14c | 5,085$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.65 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Siena Saints | 22c | 4,970$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.63 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 4,970$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Siena Saints | 12c | 4,969$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 4,968$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Siena Saints | 2c | 4,942$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Siena Saints | 17c | 4,927$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.48 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Siena Saints | 21c | 4,900$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Siena Saints | 10c | 4,662$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.57 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Siena Saints | 23c | 4,511$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.65 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Siena Saints | 10c | 4,508$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Siena Saints | 4c | 4,479$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Siena Saints | 1c | 4,199$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…bceabacked Siena Saints | 5c | 4,139$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 4,093$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…f461backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 4,060$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Siena Saints | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 3,945$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.58 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Siena Saints | 14c | 3,881$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.13 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Siena Saints | 1c | 3,847$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 3,823$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.07 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Siena Saints | 21c | 3,691$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Siena Saints | 11c | 3,533$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.65 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Siena Saints | 22c | 3,492$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duke Blue Devils | 62c | 3,450$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.23 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Siena Saints | 1c | 3,386$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…f6ebbacked Siena Saints | 22c | 3,263$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 3,227$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Siena Saints | 1c | 3,202$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…4c34backed Siena Saints | 1c | 3,109$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 3,038$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Siena Saints | 13c | 3,037$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 136.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 144.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 150.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-28.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)Siena Saints won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.