TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$575,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,012 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over57c39,544$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,043.833652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under42c34,802$14,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,616.692937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under42c30,088$12,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,637.143641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under44c26,539$11,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,677.022360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under43c25,578$10,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,929.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c23,918$13,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,227.311,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over57c20,378$11,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,803.0213245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under43c16,976$7,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.496844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed Under43c14,000$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,020966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3607750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over57c7,056$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.483839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over58c6,822$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Over57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c4,625$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.141,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over56c4,001$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over52c3,750$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over56c3,600$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5849757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c3,515$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.4859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c3,451$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.532040%8 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over58c3,369$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.325248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c3,231$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.5726047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under42c2,885$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.75143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over51c2,759$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.98647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over58c2,640$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.634047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over56c2,159$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.774544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over59c2,095$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over59c2,034$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.95646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c2,019$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over55c2,001$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.626657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c2,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3290%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over47c2,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.992128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under43c1,936$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e37…deb2backed Over54c1,710$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under44c1,700$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.362536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under42c1,700$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under42c1,415$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.522825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under41c1,192$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7250%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c1,191$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over38c1,108$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.962040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over46c1,082$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.4313234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over59c1,070$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.522373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4305350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1980%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c999.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under42c965$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.311152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over59c910.03$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.112356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over53c899.98$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.992147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.197245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463450%17 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over60c846$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.42646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under42c788.86$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.323043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over58c753.16$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.336728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Over56c701.98$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28713349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c684.09$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9538253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Under45c636.33$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over58c635$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.73531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under41c606.65$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.733452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over57c600$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.174835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over59c594.92$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.973971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over57c594.41$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9313453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under43c586.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.175453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over42c559.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.593956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under39c557.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0823637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under45c543.15$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.713345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over56c529.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.75156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.992045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c499.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over57c499.96$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9829138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over59c477.2$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.65955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over39c474.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.358241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under19c449.59$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.257834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over57c441.05$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.653745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over56c430$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.23748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over54c409.88$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.544866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c405.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7410648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17214645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd797…692dbacked Over59c399.55$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.194100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0621…9997backed Over57c397.11$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over58c390.03$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9442438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over49c385.7$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.643650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over56c382.39$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+221%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.