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Champions League · resolved market

Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,116 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No69c14,003$9,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.833447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes31c12,500$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8751428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No69c11,548$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,577.6528643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Yes32c9,472$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No69c6,322$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.9810849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x953c…b274backed Yes31c6,308$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No68c4,906$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5673151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes1c4,500$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51711.8%2 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No69c4,000$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2204562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed No69c2,450$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.441540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes31c2,040$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.464643.5%20 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes21c1,600$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32817322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes29c1,286$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.065424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3107742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No69c969.19$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No72c922.57$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6410337.9%39 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yes31c843.74$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd338…4c2abacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed No70c778$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No70c752.69$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.814156.1%23 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d29…bd84backed Yes32c717.16$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes31c666.13$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36c…6b40backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No74c593.51$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.829556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f15…569fbacked Yes31c581.25$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes31c524$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed No73c518.96$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.711952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…c506backed No70c504.27$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…993dbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes29c496.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0913843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29be…7675backed No70c408.54$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.562339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes29c399.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed No68c349.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes17c340.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584216.7%7 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes8c340$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.922817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes31c320.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes31c299.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes31c271.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Yes31c270$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccba…11f0backed No69c252.65$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.32540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.540450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No71c217.9$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No68c185.55$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.387463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb20e…09c1backed Yes32c184.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…14e8backed Yes34c177.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe400…9aa9backed Yes31c177.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x466f…03a9backed Yes37c171.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.952236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No70c171$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8680…a628backed Yes30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No63c162.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.35759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcd…005ebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0af…72b6backed Yes32c157.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe506…1bccbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896c…7708backed Yes32c154.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2649…9d3cbacked Yes31c144.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes29c144.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.789442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3327…d03bbacked No71c129.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0478…3faabacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes30c117$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3298…6eb7backed Yes37c116.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e2…0ae9backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes11c110.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c62…44b4backed Yes38c105.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ec…fc3bbacked Yes32c103.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3110237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7af…87a4backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314650%23 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…3bcfbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+109.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ef…9d9abacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes31c97.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2416327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8eb…3df0backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed No68c81.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…9b13backed Yes32c81.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes35c75.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4511743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdc…a1cebacked Yes32c75.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8531…5eccbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27e2…2b82backed No65c66.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c65.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.352646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…ee84backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…0897backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a3…7a2bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12e…ecf7backed Yes31c64.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfa…11d1backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed No70c60.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdb…0484backed No70c55.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.375100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bbc…2937backed Yes31c54.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb34…0e7dbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4921backed Yes31c47.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c49…1d27backed No69c43.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8614655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.