Champions League · resolved market
Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3532aeaee1f698dea2e9f82eb7dfae81d520828f6a36effa7d6634410507eac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,150 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 3c | 47,295$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.6 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 4c | 24,477$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.46 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Yes | 4c | 13,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 6c | 10,860$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 4c | 6,740$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 4c | 6,220$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 3c | 5,666$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,675$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Yes | 4c | 4,065$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,431$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 3,206$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 4c | 2,569$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…3428backed Yes | 9c | 2,208$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,053$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,996$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed Yes | 3c | 1,619$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…2310backed Yes | 5c | 1,568$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 4c | 1,433$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Yes | 4c | 1,422$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…bdd6backed Yes | 4c | 1,173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,078$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 4c | 1,062$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,022$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 978.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 4c | 919.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 875$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 3c | 837.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 4c | 770.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 4c | 703.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 2c | 667.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 4c | 667$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 4c | 576.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Yes | 3c | 571.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 9c | 545.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 517.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…6b40backed Yes | 5c | 511.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Yes | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 5c | 371.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…34cdbacked Yes | 4c | 353.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cfaebacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…488abacked Yes | 4c | 338.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…4b47backed Yes | 5c | 333.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…ee72backed Yes | 4c | 310.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 4c | 279.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2357…b74dbacked Yes | 4c | 266.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…0bedbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…7a2bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked No | 70c | 73.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 71c | 69.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Leverkusen reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.