Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63e22797776fa5d6dda4498ba5f7372b91afe7ec9bdd8b6c464e97f229a23346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 18c | 49,029$9,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,035.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 17c | 38,382$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.63 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 16c | 28,448$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.97 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 14c | 21,477$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.28 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 0c | 15,728$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 9c | 15,218$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.58 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1a…f7d9backed No | 0c | 8,743$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 19c | 7,560$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 5c | 3,222$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 18c | 2,751$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 15c | 2,563$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed No | 19c | 2,379$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 14c | 2,100$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 18c | 2,043$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.7 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 24c | 1,749$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.21 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 15c | 1,615$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,518$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.42 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 19c | 1,383$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,268$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 1,166$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 19c | 1,111$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +254.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…8a2dbacked No | 18c | 766$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 18c | 749.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 18c | 743.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 11c | 566.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 543.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…7f89backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 29c | 508.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked No | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 41c | 483.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked No | 20c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed No | 17c | 380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed No | 18c | 273.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed No | 21c | 272.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 18c | 266.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 42c | 239.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…8b0ebacked Yes | 27c | 230$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 206.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…2b8ebacked Yes | 27c | 206.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 19c | 195.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed No | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 45c | 164.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 63c | 158.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…a1cebacked No | 16c | 153.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…dc8bbacked No | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 136.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 133$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe58…ba98backed No | 19c | 130.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 71c | 129$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 76c | 127.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed No | 18c | 108.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed No | 19c | 103.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 96.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…2a8cbacked No | 16c | 92.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…2e2fbacked No | 19c | 92.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…dda7backed Yes | 46c | 87.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 18c | 87.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed No | 18c | 86.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked No | 18c | 81.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 18c | 79.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…ce88backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…5cdbbacked Yes | 28c | 74.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…dcf9backed Yes | 28c | 68.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 16c | 63.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 18c | 61.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Yes | 27c | 50.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabc…6905backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…2b19backed Yes | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Leverkusen reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.