TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,202 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes16c20,081$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,843.8310849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes16c8,519$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.96344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes17c7,389$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.23850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes63c6,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140a…7680backed Yes19c5,263$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.16119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes17c4,808$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990.643151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes22c3,418$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.643857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes18c3,343$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.269444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes17c3,290$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.268847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Yes16c3,200$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6882119%4 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes17c3,064$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.88258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No36c2,026$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.55939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca03…91b8backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes16c1,708$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.795424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No30c1,397$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0711916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes70c1,210$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.73847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes71c1,100$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3193935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes62c1,047$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.033554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes20c1,041$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.6110337.9%39 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes36c1,000$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6394438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No26c858.81$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5414332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No21c844.45$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.842817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes24c667.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.653026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes20c635.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes76c621$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.253447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No76c537.56$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.554562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes38c528.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb5…3d1ebacked Yes17c502.52$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes40c500.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3412036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes18c500$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4084233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c500$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.647429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No28c499.69$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5516327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes17c498.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2752646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No24c484.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.110419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa585…9e84backed Yes20c458.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+150.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc644…1546backed Yes23c426.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+156.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes16c411$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2461148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes70c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No34c399.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9917322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…fba5backed No75c394$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+190.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes43c388.53$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.985349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes15c367$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes38c360$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.210742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…fd89backed No43c307.7$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.74633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes15c306.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8940450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da5…d15dbacked Yes18c305.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+129.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes73c297.26$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.264156.1%23 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdfb…9518backed Yes70c280$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed No27c277.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No67c247.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.491225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes73c203.14$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb42c…60f1backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked No17c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515538.1%59 W · 96 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Yes51c197.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.911464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Yes16c187.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+175%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Yes30c178.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdc…a1cebacked Yes14c176.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.48728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.251618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick11cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf293…e87abacked Yes26c155.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No16c152.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Yes18c144.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x422f…da1abacked Yes71c141.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.341070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4d…3e1bbacked Yes72c139.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6581…f4ddbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes17c112.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.37922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+243.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4c…cab6backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+427.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Yes16c109$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.791637.5%6 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+118.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes39c97.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.443141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes38c97.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.41650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes74c94.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.624151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…9e76backed Yes27c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+155.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes43c86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.941338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes73c85.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.17635.5%27 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73d…565abacked Yes18c84.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+179.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes26c84.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.251414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f4…0e38backed No78c80.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes67c80.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes38c79.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.024650%23 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes22c73.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4125735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No28c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58d0…aed2backed Yes65c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked No29c69.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16053.3%32 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes50c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.474637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No15c65.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.039966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd7af…87a4backed Yes24c63.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc56…b1b7backed Yes17c60.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes17c59.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.793661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked No64c55.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.