TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,707 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes7c19,332$1,353 inLost-$1,353.2710849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost-$35028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes1c4,300$60 inLost-$59.510137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes8c2,440$197 inLost-$197.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes7c2,013$146 inLost-$145.6529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes7c2,002$141 inLost-$140.731540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…c9dbbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes9c1,096$97 inLost-$97.0829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes7c1,065$75 inLost-$74.558847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c81…3c73backed Yes9c810.42$73 inLost-$72.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes7c653.38$46 inLost-$46.322133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb18…57ecbacked Yes9c566.67$50 inLost-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-86%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes7c555$39 inLost-$38.85450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+140.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes46c545.65$251 inLost-$2515540%22 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes7c410.6$30 inLost-$29.991323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc0…9ed1backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost-$30560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick19cpaid+217.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes8c282.2$23 inLost-$22.5860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x303a…4b47backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27d…a3febacked Yes8c189.38$15 inLost-$15.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes8c142.41$11 inLost-$11.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$102330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1440…1033backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b8a…89e9backed Yes42c50$21 inLost-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.